Sun, Apr 26 2026 • 13:00 •
Marcel De Kerpelstadion
Expected Goals
1.36 (league 1.62)
1.49 (league 1.41)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 34.4% | 25.0% | 39.9% |
best score tips
1 - 1
11.7%
1 - 2
8.7%
0 - 1
8.6%
Score & goals probability table
| Diksmuide | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| RFC Wetteren | 0 | 5.8% | 8.6% | 6.4% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| 1 | 7.9% | 11.7% | 8.7% | 4.3% | 1.6% | 0.5% | |
| 2 | 5.4% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.3% | |
| 3 | 2.4% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.8% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Away lean
Diksmuide carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 26 points. This sits in the lean confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: RFC Wetteren +22.0, Diksmuide +0.3.
Lean confidence
Upset risk: Medium-high
Elo standalone
RFC Wetteren
vs
Diksmuide
Elo gapDiksmuide +26
Home / draw / away34% / 27% / 39%
Expected home share46%
Combined Elo3159.6
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Away lean
Confidence band
Lean confidence
Upset risk
Medium-high
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
3159.6
Elo home share
46%
Match tone
Upset Watch
| Metric | RFC Wetteren | Diksmuide |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1549.1 | 1610.5 |
| Form Elo | 1569.3 | 1599.4 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1534.8 | 1565.2 |
| Attack Elo | 1558.8 | 1589.6 |
| Defense Elo | 1508.9 | 1619.5 |
| Last 5 Elo change | +22.0 | +0.3 |
There is a measurable Elo lean, but the gap still leaves room for the game state and finishing variance to reshape the result. RFC Wetteren last-5 Elo change: +22.0; Diksmuide last-5 Elo change: +0.3.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | RFC Wetteren | Diksmuide |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 80% | 67% |
| Attack | 63% | 58% |
| Defense | 63% | 63% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 12 | 2.4 | 11 | 2.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 7 | 1.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.50
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.70
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.40
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.40
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
86%
FT probability
2.5+
60%
FT probability
3.5+
43%
FT probability
BTTS
76%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
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Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | RFC Wetteren | Diksmuide | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 14 | 15 | 29 | 15 | 14 | 29 |
| Wins | 64% | 27% | 45% | 67% | 57% | 62% |
| Draws | 7% | 33% | 21% | 7% | 21% | 14% |
| Loses | 29% | 40% | 34% | 27% | 21% | 24% |
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DiksmuideDWWWLLWWLWDWWLWWWWWWLDWLWWWDL
League goals
| Metric | RFC Wetteren | Diksmuide | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 31 | 19 | 50 | 31 | 21 | 52 |
| GF avg | 2.2 | 1.3 | 1.7 | 2.1 | 1.5 | 1.8 |
| GA total | 19 | 24 | 43 | 13 | 14 | 27 |
| GA avg | 1.4 | 1.6 | 1.5 | 0.9 | 1.0 | 0.9 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | RFC Wetteren | Diksmuide | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 90% | 83% | 86% | 59% |
| 1.5 | 41% | 41% | 52% | 28% |
| 2.5 | 28% | 17% | 28% | 3% |
| 3.5 | 10% | 7% | 7% | 3% |
| 4.5 | 3% | 0% | 7% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | RFC Wetteren | Diksmuide | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 4 | 1 | 5 | 8 | 4 | 12 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
Penalties
| Metric | RFC Wetteren | Diksmuide |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | RFC Wetteren | Diksmuide |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 7 | 6 |
| Draws | 4 | 1 |
| Losses | 4 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 5-1 | 2-3 | 5-0 | 1-3 |
| Biggest losses | 1-4 | 4-2 | 2-4 | 2-1 |
| Goals For | 5 | 3 | 5 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 4 | 4 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | RFC Wetteren | Diksmuide |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 55% | 45% |
| Att | 52% | 48% |
| Def | 50% | 50% |
| Poisson Distribution | 48% | 52% |
| H2h | 25% | 75% |
| Goals | 27% | 73% |
| Total | 42.8% | 57.2% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
📊
League standings
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