Sat, Oct 4 2025 • 17:30 •
SportOase Eburons Dome
Expected Goals
1.03 (league 1.75)
2.15 (league 1.51)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 17.1% | 19.9% | 60.7% |
best score tips
1 - 2
9.9%
0 - 2
9.6%
1 - 1
9.2%
Score & goals probability table
| Heist | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Tongeren | 0 | 4.2% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 6.9% | 3.7% | 1.6% |
| 1 | 4.3% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 7.1% | 3.8% | 1.6% | |
| 2 | 2.2% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 0.8% | |
| 3 | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.3% | |
| 4 | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Tongeren | Heist |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 33% | 67% |
| Attack | 50% | 39% |
| Defense | 50% | 78% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 9 | 1.8 | 7 | 1.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 9 | 1.8 | 4 | 0.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.20
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.30
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.60
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.50
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
76%
FT probability
2.5+
53%
FT probability
3.5+
38%
FT probability
BTTS
67%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Tongeren | Heist | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 2 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 5 |
| Wins | 0% | 33% | 20% | 100% | 33% | 60% |
| Draws | 0% | 67% | 40% | 0% | 33% | 20% |
| Loses | 100% | 0% | 40% | 0% | 33% | 20% |
Form: Tongeren: WLDLD • Heist: LWDWW
League goals
| Metric | Tongeren | Heist | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 0 | 9 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 7 |
| GF avg | 0.0 | 3.0 | 1.8 | 1.5 | 1.3 | 1.4 |
| GA total | 5 | 4 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 4 |
| GA avg | 2.5 | 1.3 | 1.8 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 0.8 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Tongeren | Heist | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 60% | 80% | 80% | 80% |
| 1.5 | 40% | 40% | 40% | 0% |
| 2.5 | 40% | 40% | 20% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 20% | 20% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 20% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Tongeren | Heist | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
Penalties
| Metric | Tongeren | Heist |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Tongeren | Heist |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | — | 0-5 | 2-1 | 1-3 |
| Biggest losses | 0-4 | — | — | 1-0 |
| Goals For | 0 | 5 | 2 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Tongeren | Heist |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 33% | 67% |
| Att | 56% | 44% |
| Def | 31% | 69% |
| Poisson Distribution | 0% | 100% |
| H2h | 0% | 0% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 40.0% | 60.0% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Heist
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Tongeren = 1.03 (league 1.75), Heist = 2.15 (league 1.51)
| Heist | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Tongeren | 0 | 4.2% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 6.9% | 3.7% | 1.6% |
| 1 | 4.3% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 7.1% | 3.8% | 1.6% | |
| 2 | 2.2% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 0.8% | |
| 3 | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.3% | |
| 4 | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 17.1% · Draw 19.9% · Away win 60.7%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1