Sat, Jan 3 2026 • 19:00 •
Gemeentelijk Sportcentrum
Expected Goals
2.62 (league 1.75)
1.13 (league 1.51)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 64.2% | 16.5% | 14.1% |
best score tips
2 - 1
9.1%
2 - 0
8.1%
3 - 1
8.0%
Score & goals probability table
| Tongeren | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Heist | 0 | 2.3% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 6.2% | 7.0% | 3.9% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 8.1% | 9.1% | 5.2% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 7.0% | 8.0% | 4.5% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 4.6% | 5.2% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 2.4% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Heist | Tongeren |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 100% | 27% |
| Attack | 100% | 22% |
| Defense | 83% | 28% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 24 | 4.8 | 4 | 0.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 13 | 2.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.70
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.60
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.70
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.60
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
68%
FT probability
3.5+
49%
FT probability
BTTS
76%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Heist | Tongeren | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 7 | 8 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 15 |
| Wins | 71% | 63% | 67% | 13% | 29% | 20% |
| Draws | 14% | 13% | 13% | 25% | 57% | 40% |
| Loses | 14% | 25% | 20% | 63% | 14% | 40% |
Form: Heist: LWDWWLDWLWWWWWW • Tongeren: WLDLDWDDDLDLLWL
League goals
| Metric | Heist | Tongeren | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 19 | 20 | 39 | 3 | 13 | 16 |
| GF avg | 2.7 | 2.5 | 2.6 | 0.4 | 1.9 | 1.1 |
| GA total | 6 | 6 | 12 | 17 | 12 | 29 |
| GA avg | 0.9 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 2.1 | 1.7 | 1.9 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Heist | Tongeren | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 80% | 73% | 60% | 80% |
| 1.5 | 60% | 7% | 20% | 33% |
| 2.5 | 47% | 0% | 13% | 33% |
| 3.5 | 40% | 0% | 7% | 20% |
| 4.5 | 27% | 0% | 7% | 13% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Heist | Tongeren | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 6 |
Penalties
| Metric | Heist | Tongeren |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Heist | Tongeren |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 3 |
| Losses | 1 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 5-0 | 0-6 | 1-0 | 0-5 |
| Biggest losses | 0-1 | 1-0 | 0-7 | 5-0 |
| Goals For | 5 | 6 | 1 | 5 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 1 | 7 | 5 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Heist | Tongeren |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 79% | 21% |
| Att | 86% | 14% |
| Def | 81% | 19% |
| Poisson Distribution | 74% | 26% |
| H2h | 0% | 100% |
| Goals | 0% | 100% |
| Total | 80.0% | 20.0% |
Advice: Combo Winner : Heist and +1.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Heist = 2.62 (league 1.75), Tongeren = 1.13 (league 1.51)
| Tongeren | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Heist | 0 | 2.3% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 6.2% | 7.0% | 3.9% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 8.1% | 9.1% | 5.2% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 7.0% | 8.0% | 4.5% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 4.6% | 5.2% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 2.4% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 64.2% · Draw 16.5% · Away win 14.1%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1