Second Amateur Division - VFV B — Belgium
Sun, Apr 26 2026 • 12:30 • B.R.I.S. Stadion
Not Started

Berg en Dal

—

Hades

Expected Goals
2.06 (league 1.77) 1.97 (league 1.46)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
39.6% 20.6% 36.4%
best score tips
2 - 1
7.4%
2 - 2
7.3%
1 - 1
7.2%
Score & goals probability table
Hades
0 1 2 3 4 5
Berg en Dal 0 1.8% 3.5% 3.5% 2.3% 1.1% 0.4%
1 3.7% 7.2% 7.1% 4.7% 2.3% 0.9%
2 3.8% 7.4% 7.3% 4.8% 2.4% 0.9%
3 2.6% 5.1% 5.0% 3.3% 1.6% 0.6%
4 1.3% 2.6% 2.6% 1.7% 0.8% 0.3%
5 0.6% 1.1% 1.1% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1%
FootyWow Elo verdict

Away lean

Hades carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 34 points. This sits in the lean confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Berg en Dal -7.3, Hades +53.8.

Lean confidence Upset risk: Medium-high Elo standalone
Berg en Dal Elo 1403.4 · -7.3
vs
Hades Elo 1472.1 · +53.8
Elo gapHades +34
Home / draw / away33% / 26% / 41%
Expected home share45%
Combined Elo2875.5
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge Away lean
Confidence band Lean confidence
Upset risk Medium-high
Model agreement Elo standalone
Combined Elo 2875.5
Elo home share 45%
Match tone Tactical Watch
Metric Berg en Dal Hades
Overall Elo1403.41472.1
Form Elo1388.31505.5
Home / Away Elo1474.81463.3
Attack Elo1438.21450.4
Defense Elo1349.11389.3
Last 5 Elo change-7.3+53.8

There is a measurable Elo lean, but the gap still leaves room for the game state and finishing variance to reshape the result. Berg en Dal last-5 Elo change: -7.3; Hades last-5 Elo change: +53.8.

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBerg en DalHades
Played55
Form20%87%
Attack29%52%
Defense38%71%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.211 | 2.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)13 | 2.66 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

5.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

71%
FT probability

3.5+

51%
FT probability

BTTS

75%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

na
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Berg en Dal Hades
HATHAT
Played141529151429
Wins29%13%21%53%21%38%
Draws7%13%10%13%21%17%
Loses64%73%69%33%57%45%
Berg en DalLLLLWLDLDWLLDLLWLLWWLLLLLLLWL
HadesLLLWLWLDLWLWWLLLWLLDLDDWWWWDW

League goals

Metric Berg en Dal Hades
HATHAT
GF total191433191736
GF avg1.40.91.11.31.21.2
GA total333770193655
GA avg2.42.52.41.32.61.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBerg en DalHades
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.566%90%69%79%
1.528%79%31%52%
2.514%34%17%38%
3.57%24%7%14%
4.50%14%0%7%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBerg en DalHades
HATHAT
Clean sheets213516
Failed to score4610279

Penalties

MetricBerg en DalHades
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricBerg en DalHades
Wins24
Draws12
Losses73

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-22-43-13-4
Biggest losses1-55-00-35-0
Goals For4434
Goals Against5555

Model comparison

MetricBerg en DalHades
Form19%81%
Att35%65%
Def32%68%
Poisson Distribution51%49%
H2h67%33%
Goals75%25%
Total46.5%53.5%
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

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