Sat, Sep 20 2025 • 14:00 • Yerevan Football Academy
Match Finished
Expected Goals
4.50 (league 1.78) 4.54 (league 1.23)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
18.9% 10.8% 19.2%
best score tips
4 - 4
3.6%
4 - 5
3.3%
5 - 4
3.2%
Score & goals probability table
FC Noah
0 1 2 3 4 5
Ararat-Armenia 0 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2%
1 0.1% 0.2% 0.5% 0.8% 0.9% 0.9%
2 0.1% 0.5% 1.2% 1.9% 2.1% 1.9%
3 0.2% 0.8% 1.8% 2.8% 3.2% 2.9%
4 0.2% 0.9% 2.1% 3.2% 3.6% 3.3%
5 0.2% 0.8% 1.9% 2.8% 3.2% 2.9%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricArarat-ArmeniaFC Noah
Played44
Form83%75%
Attack33%46%
Defense83%83%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 211 | 2.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 14 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

74%
FT probability

3.5+

53%
FT probability

BTTS

72%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Ararat-Armenia FC Noah
HATHAT
Played134314
Wins100%67%75%100%0%75%
Draws0%33%25%0%0%0%
Loses0%0%0%0%100%25%

Form: Ararat-Armenia: DWWW • FC Noah: WWLW

League goals

Metric Ararat-Armenia FC Noah
HATHAT
GF total44811011
GF avg4.01.32.03.70.02.8
GA total224224
GA avg2.00.71.00.72.01.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineArarat-ArmeniaFC Noah
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.575%50%75%75%
1.550%50%75%25%
2.550%0%75%0%
3.525%0%50%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricArarat-ArmeniaFC Noah
HATHAT
Clean sheets022101
Failed to score011011

Penalties

MetricArarat-ArmeniaFC Noah
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricArarat-ArmeniaFC Noah
Wins02
Draws10
Losses01

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-22-34-0
Biggest losses2-0
Goals For4340
Goals Against2212

Model comparison

MetricArarat-ArmeniaFC Noah
Form53%47%
Att42%58%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution100%0%
H2h0%100%
Goals23%77%
Total42.0%58.0%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or FC Noah and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.50 @ William Hill
Draw3.80 @ Pinnacle
Away1.95 @ William Hill

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.57 @ William Hill
No2.31 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.65 @ Marathonbet
Under 2.52.20 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Ararat-Armenia = 4.50 (league 1.78), FC Noah = 4.54 (league 1.23)

FC Noah
0 1 2 3 4 5
Ararat-Armenia 0 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2%
1 0.1% 0.2% 0.5% 0.8% 0.9% 0.9%
2 0.1% 0.5% 1.2% 1.9% 2.1% 1.9%
3 0.2% 0.8% 1.8% 2.8% 3.2% 2.9%
4 0.2% 0.9% 2.1% 3.2% 3.6% 3.3%
5 0.2% 0.8% 1.9% 2.8% 3.2% 2.9%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 18.9% · Draw 10.8% · Away win 19.2%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1