QSL Cup — Qatar
Fri, Oct 17 2025 • 16:30 • Thani bin Jassim Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.78 (league 1.69) 1.62 (league 1.85)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
41.0% 22.6% 34.8%
best score tips
1 - 1
9.6%
2 - 1
8.6%
1 - 2
7.8%
Score & goals probability table
Al-Sailiya
0 1 2 3 4 5
Al-Gharafa 0 3.3% 5.4% 4.4% 2.4% 1.0% 0.3%
1 5.9% 9.6% 7.8% 4.2% 1.7% 0.6%
2 5.3% 8.6% 6.9% 3.8% 1.5% 0.5%
3 3.1% 5.1% 4.1% 2.2% 0.9% 0.3%
4 1.4% 2.3% 1.8% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1%
5 0.5% 0.8% 0.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAl-GharafaAl-Sailiya
Played33
Form11%67%
Attack23%18%
Defense59%82%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 1.74 | 1.3
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 34 | 1.3

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

72%
FT probability

3.5+

51%
FT probability

BTTS

83%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Al-Gharafa Al-Sailiya
HATHAT
Played213123
Wins0%0%0%100%50%67%
Draws50%0%33%0%0%0%
Loses50%100%67%0%50%33%

Form: Al-Gharafa: DLL • Al-Sailiya: WWL

League goals

Metric Al-Gharafa Al-Sailiya
HATHAT
GF total325134
GF avg1.52.01.71.01.51.3
GA total459044
GA avg2.05.03.00.02.01.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAl-GharafaAl-Sailiya
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.567%100%100%67%
1.567%67%33%33%
2.533%67%0%33%
3.50%33%0%0%
4.50%33%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAl-GharafaAl-Sailiya
HATHAT
Clean sheets000101
Failed to score101000

Penalties

MetricAl-GharafaAl-Sailiya
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricAl-GharafaAl-Sailiya
Wins02
Draws10
Losses00

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins——1-01-2
Biggest losses0-15-2—3-1
Goals For3212
Goals Against3503

Model comparison

MetricAl-GharafaAl-Sailiya
Form14%86%
Att56%44%
Def31%69%
Poisson Distribution44%56%
H2h60%40%
Goals53%47%
Total43.0%57.0%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Al-Sailiya

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.90 @ William Hill
Draw4.40 @ Pinnacle
Away4.05 @ Marathonbet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.71 @ 1xBet
Under 2.52.11 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.65 @ Marathonbet
No2.15 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Al-Gharafa = 1.78 (league 1.69), Al-Sailiya = 1.62 (league 1.85)

Al-Sailiya
0 1 2 3 4 5
Al-Gharafa 0 3.3% 5.4% 4.4% 2.4% 1.0% 0.3%
1 5.9% 9.6% 7.8% 4.2% 1.7% 0.6%
2 5.3% 8.6% 6.9% 3.8% 1.5% 0.5%
3 3.1% 5.1% 4.1% 2.2% 0.9% 0.3%
4 1.4% 2.3% 1.8% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1%
5 0.5% 0.8% 0.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 41.0% · Draw 22.6% · Away win 34.8%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1