QSL Cup — Qatar
Sat, Oct 18 2025 • 14:30 • Al-Khwar Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.96 (league 1.69) 1.60 (league 1.88)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
57.5% 16.0% 18.0%
best score tips
2 - 1
7.3%
3 - 1
7.2%
2 - 2
5.9%
Score & goals probability table
Lusail City
0 1 2 3 4 5
Al Mesaimeer 0 1.1% 1.7% 1.3% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1%
1 3.1% 5.0% 4.0% 2.1% 0.8% 0.3%
2 4.6% 7.3% 5.9% 3.1% 1.2% 0.4%
3 4.5% 7.2% 5.8% 3.1% 1.2% 0.4%
4 3.4% 5.4% 4.3% 2.3% 0.9% 0.3%
5 2.0% 3.2% 2.5% 1.3% 0.5% 0.2%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAl MesaimeerLusail City
Played33
Form44%33%
Attack28%39%
Defense72%39%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 1.77 | 2.3
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 1.711 | 3.7

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

5.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

7.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

85%
FT probability

3.5+

68%
FT probability

BTTS

99%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Al Mesaimeer Lusail City
HATHAT
Played123123
Wins0%50%33%100%0%33%
Draws0%50%33%0%0%0%
Loses100%0%33%0%100%67%

Form: Al Mesaimeer: DLW • Lusail City: LWL

League goals

Metric Al Mesaimeer Lusail City
HATHAT
GF total145437
GF avg1.02.01.74.01.52.3
GA total23511011
GA avg2.01.51.71.05.03.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAl MesaimeerLusail City
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%100%100%100%
1.533%67%67%67%
2.533%0%33%67%
3.50%0%33%67%
4.50%0%0%67%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAl MesaimeerLusail City
HATHAT
Clean sheets000000
Failed to score000000

Penalties

MetricAl MesaimeerLusail City
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricAl MesaimeerLusail City
Wins01
Draws10
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins—2-34-1—
Biggest losses1-2——5-1
Goals For1342
Goals Against2215

Model comparison

MetricAl MesaimeerLusail City
Form57%43%
Att42%58%
Def69%31%
Poisson Distribution58%42%
H2h40%60%
Goals43%57%
Total51.5%48.5%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Al Mesaimeer or draw and +1.5 goals

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.18 @ Dafabet
Draw3.70 @ Bet365
Away3.00 @ Betfair

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.65 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.25 @ Betfair

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.52 @ Marathonbet
No2.50 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Al Mesaimeer = 2.96 (league 1.69), Lusail City = 1.60 (league 1.88)

Lusail City
0 1 2 3 4 5
Al Mesaimeer 0 1.1% 1.7% 1.3% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1%
1 3.1% 5.0% 4.0% 2.1% 0.8% 0.3%
2 4.6% 7.3% 5.9% 3.1% 1.2% 0.4%
3 4.5% 7.2% 5.8% 3.1% 1.2% 0.4%
4 3.4% 5.4% 4.3% 2.3% 0.9% 0.3%
5 2.0% 3.2% 2.5% 1.3% 0.5% 0.2%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 57.5% · Draw 16.0% · Away win 18.0%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1