QSL Cup — Qatar
Sat, Nov 15 2025 • 16:30 • Thani Bin Jassim Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
6.40 (league 1.69) 0.53 (league 1.87)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
37.3% 0.9% 0.3%
best score tips
5 - 0
8.7%
4 - 0
6.8%
5 - 1
4.7%
Score & goals probability table
Al-Markhiya
0 1 2 3 4 5
Lusail City 0 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 2.0% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 4.3% 2.3% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 6.8% 3.6% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 8.7% 4.7% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLusail CityAl-Markhiya
Played55
Form27%47%
Attack75%33%
Defense0%33%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.84 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)18 | 3.68 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

5.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

5.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

83%
FT probability

3.5+

59%
FT probability

BTTS

80%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 1 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Lusail City Al-Markhiya
HATHAT
Played145235
Wins100%0%20%50%33%40%
Draws0%25%20%50%0%20%
Loses0%75%60%0%67%40%

Form: Lusail City: LWLDL • Al-Markhiya: DLWLW

League goals

Metric Lusail City Al-Markhiya
HATHAT
GF total459134
GF avg4.01.31.80.51.00.8
GA total11718088
GA avg1.04.33.60.02.71.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLusail CityAl-Markhiya
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%100%40%60%
1.540%60%20%40%
2.520%60%20%20%
3.520%60%0%20%
4.50%60%0%20%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLusail CityAl-Markhiya
HATHAT
Clean sheets000202
Failed to score000123

Penalties

MetricLusail CityAl-Markhiya
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricLusail CityAl-Markhiya
Wins11
Draws11
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-1—1-02-3
Biggest losses—6-1—5-0
Goals For4213
Goals Against1605

Model comparison

MetricLusail CityAl-Markhiya
Form36%64%
Att69%31%
Def31%69%
Poisson Distribution92%8%
H2h29%71%
Goals33%67%
Total48.3%51.7%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Al-Markhiya and +1.5 goals

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.43 @ 1xBet
Draw3.64 @ 1xBet
Away2.20 @ Superbet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.81 @ 1xBet
Under 2.52.10 @ Betfair

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.74 @ 1xBet
No2.22 @ Superbet
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Lusail City = 6.40 (league 1.69), Al-Markhiya = 0.53 (league 1.87)

Al-Markhiya
0 1 2 3 4 5
Lusail City 0 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 2.0% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 4.3% 2.3% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 6.8% 3.6% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 8.7% 4.7% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 37.3% · Draw 0.9% · Away win 0.3%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1