QSL Cup — Qatar
Sun, Nov 16 2025 • 16:30 • Jassim Bin Hamad Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.39 (league 1.68) 1.77 (league 1.87)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
48.4% 19.5% 27.7%
best score tips
2 - 1
7.9%
2 - 2
7.0%
1 - 1
6.6%
Score & goals probability table
Al Ahli Doha
0 1 2 3 4 5
Al Sadd 0 1.6% 2.8% 2.5% 1.4% 0.6% 0.2%
1 3.8% 6.6% 5.9% 3.4% 1.5% 0.5%
2 4.5% 7.9% 7.0% 4.1% 1.8% 0.6%
3 3.6% 6.3% 5.6% 3.3% 1.4% 0.5%
4 2.1% 3.8% 3.3% 2.0% 0.9% 0.3%
5 1.0% 1.8% 1.6% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAl SaddAl Ahli Doha
Played55
Form7%13%
Attack44%25%
Defense0%19%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.44 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)16 | 3.213 | 2.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

5.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

7.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

85%
FT probability

3.5+

62%
FT probability

BTTS

86%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Al Sadd Al Ahli Doha
HATHAT
Played325415
Wins0%0%0%0%0%0%
Draws0%50%20%50%0%40%
Loses100%50%80%50%100%60%

Form: Al Sadd: DLLLL • Al Ahli Doha: DLLLD

League goals

Metric Al Sadd Al Ahli Doha
HATHAT
GF total347314
GF avg1.02.01.40.81.00.8
GA total106169413
GA avg3.33.03.22.34.02.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAl SaddAl Ahli Doha
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.580%100%60%80%
1.540%100%20%60%
2.520%80%0%40%
3.50%20%0%40%
4.50%20%0%20%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAl SaddAl Ahli Doha
HATHAT
Clean sheets000101
Failed to score101202

Penalties

MetricAl SaddAl Ahli Doha
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricAl SaddAl Ahli Doha
Wins00
Draws11
Losses03

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins————
Biggest losses0-53-11-64-1
Goals For2321
Goals Against5364

Model comparison

MetricAl SaddAl Ahli Doha
Form33%67%
Att64%36%
Def45%55%
Poisson Distribution57%43%
H2h93%7%
Goals88%13%
Total63.3%36.8%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Al Sadd or draw and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Al Sadd = 2.39 (league 1.68), Al Ahli Doha = 1.77 (league 1.87)

Al Ahli Doha
0 1 2 3 4 5
Al Sadd 0 1.6% 2.8% 2.5% 1.4% 0.6% 0.2%
1 3.8% 6.6% 5.9% 3.4% 1.5% 0.5%
2 4.5% 7.9% 7.0% 4.1% 1.8% 0.6%
3 3.6% 6.3% 5.6% 3.3% 1.4% 0.5%
4 2.1% 3.8% 3.3% 2.0% 0.9% 0.3%
5 1.0% 1.8% 1.6% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 48.4% · Draw 19.5% · Away win 27.7%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1