QSL Cup — Qatar
Sun, Dec 14 2025 • 16:30 • Al Bayt Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
4.00 (league 1.69) 2.49 (league 1.85)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
44.4% 13.2% 17.7%
best score tips
4 - 2
5.0%
3 - 2
5.0%
4 - 3
4.2%
Score & goals probability table
Al Ahli Doha
0 1 2 3 4 5
Al Shamal 0 0.2% 0.4% 0.5% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%
1 0.6% 1.5% 1.9% 1.6% 1.0% 0.5%
2 1.2% 3.0% 3.8% 3.1% 1.9% 1.0%
3 1.6% 4.0% 5.0% 4.2% 2.6% 1.3%
4 1.6% 4.0% 5.0% 4.2% 2.6% 1.3%
5 1.3% 3.2% 4.0% 3.3% 2.1% 1.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAl ShamalAl Ahli Doha
Played55
Form67%33%
Attack61%56%
Defense83%22%
Goals For (tot | avg)11 | 2.210 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.614 | 2.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

82%
FT probability

3.5+

58%
FT probability

BTTS

84%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 1 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Al Shamal Al Ahli Doha
HATHAT
Played448538
Wins25%50%38%0%33%13%
Draws25%50%38%40%33%38%
Loses50%0%25%60%33%50%

Form: Al Shamal: LDDWWWLD • Al Ahli Doha: DLLLDDLW

League goals

Metric Al Shamal Al Ahli Doha
HATHAT
GF total105154711
GF avg2.51.31.90.82.31.4
GA total81911819
GA avg2.00.31.12.22.72.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAl ShamalAl Ahli Doha
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.588%50%75%88%
1.538%38%38%75%
2.538%25%13%25%
3.513%0%13%25%
4.513%0%0%13%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAl ShamalAl Ahli Doha
HATHAT
Clean sheets134101
Failed to score011202

Penalties

MetricAl ShamalAl Ahli Doha
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricAl ShamalAl Ahli Doha
Wins30
Draws22
Losses13

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-00-3—2-4
Biggest losses1-3—1-64-1
Goals For5324
Goals Against3164

Model comparison

MetricAl ShamalAl Ahli Doha
Form67%33%
Att52%48%
Def82%18%
Poisson Distribution60%40%
H2h71%29%
Goals56%44%
Total64.7%35.3%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Al Shamal or draw and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.71 @ 1xBet
Draw4.21 @ Pinnacle
Away3.00 @ Betfair

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.38 @ Superbet
No3.10 @ Betfair

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.41 @ Unibet
Under 2.53.20 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Al Shamal = 4.00 (league 1.69), Al Ahli Doha = 2.49 (league 1.85)

Al Ahli Doha
0 1 2 3 4 5
Al Shamal 0 0.2% 0.4% 0.5% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%
1 0.6% 1.5% 1.9% 1.6% 1.0% 0.5%
2 1.2% 3.0% 3.8% 3.1% 1.9% 1.0%
3 1.6% 4.0% 5.0% 4.2% 2.6% 1.3%
4 1.6% 4.0% 5.0% 4.2% 2.6% 1.3%
5 1.3% 3.2% 4.0% 3.3% 2.1% 1.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 44.4% · Draw 13.2% · Away win 17.7%

vtt 2 , vtd1