Mon, Jan 19 2026 • 13:30 •
Qatar SC Stadium
Expected Goals
3.41 (league 1.69)
1.62 (league 1.85)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 58.6% | 13.6% | 14.1% |
best score tips
3 - 1
7.0%
2 - 1
6.2%
4 - 1
6.0%
Score & goals probability table
| Al-Gharafa | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Qatar SC | 0 | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 2.2% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% | |
| 2 | 3.8% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.4% | |
| 3 | 4.3% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.4% | |
| 4 | 3.7% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.3% | |
| 5 | 2.5% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Qatar SC | Al-Gharafa |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 47% | 27% |
| Attack | 65% | 29% |
| Defense | 53% | 59% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 11 | 2.2 | 5 | 1 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 7 | 1.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.30
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.80
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
4.40
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.50
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
80%
FT probability
3.5+
57%
FT probability
BTTS
85%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
0 - 1 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Qatar SC | Al-Gharafa | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 4 | 5 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 9 |
| Wins | 25% | 40% | 33% | 0% | 25% | 11% |
| Draws | 25% | 0% | 11% | 40% | 0% | 22% |
| Loses | 50% | 60% | 56% | 60% | 75% | 67% |
Form: Qatar SC: LLLWDLLWW • Al-Gharafa: DLLLLLDLW
League goals
| Metric | Qatar SC | Al-Gharafa | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 9 | 11 | 20 | 4 | 6 | 10 |
| GF avg | 2.3 | 2.2 | 2.2 | 0.8 | 1.5 | 1.1 |
| GA total | 8 | 13 | 21 | 9 | 10 | 19 |
| GA avg | 2.0 | 2.6 | 2.3 | 1.8 | 2.5 | 2.1 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Qatar SC | Al-Gharafa | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 89% | 100% | 56% | 100% |
| 1.5 | 44% | 56% | 33% | 56% |
| 2.5 | 22% | 44% | 22% | 33% |
| 3.5 | 22% | 33% | 0% | 11% |
| 4.5 | 22% | 0% | 0% | 11% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Qatar SC | Al-Gharafa | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
Penalties
| Metric | Qatar SC | Al-Gharafa |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Qatar SC | Al-Gharafa |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 0 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 3 | 5 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 6-1 | 1-6 | — | 2-3 |
| Biggest losses | 1-4 | 4-1 | 0-3 | 5-2 |
| Goals For | 6 | 6 | 3 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 4 | 3 | 5 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Qatar SC | Al-Gharafa |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 64% | 36% |
| Att | 69% | 31% |
| Def | 47% | 53% |
| Poisson Distribution | 66% | 34% |
| H2h | 7% | 93% |
| Goals | 35% | 65% |
| Total | 48.0% | 52.0% |
Advice: Double chance : Qatar SC or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Qatar SC = 3.41 (league 1.69), Al-Gharafa = 1.62 (league 1.85)
| Al-Gharafa | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Qatar SC | 0 | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 2.2% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% | |
| 2 | 3.8% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.4% | |
| 3 | 4.3% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.4% | |
| 4 | 3.7% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.3% | |
| 5 | 2.5% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 58.6% · Draw 13.6% · Away win 14.1%
vtt 1 , vtd1