Tue, Sep 30 2025 • 19:00 • Stamford Bridge
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.34 (league 1.75) 2.31 (league 1.30)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
4.1% 13.9% 79.0%
best score tips
0 - 2
18.8%
0 - 1
16.3%
0 - 3
14.5%
Score & goals probability table
Benfica
0 1 2 3 4 5
Chelsea 0 7.1% 16.3% 18.8% 14.5% 8.3% 3.9%
1 2.4% 5.6% 6.5% 5.0% 2.9% 1.3%
2 0.4% 1.0% 1.1% 0.9% 0.5% 0.2%
3 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricChelseaBenfica
Played15
Form0%67%
Attack5%35%
Defense85%85%
Goals For (tot | avg)1 | 17 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 33 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

0.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

50%
FT probability

2.5+

35%
FT probability

3.5+

25%
FT probability

BTTS

58%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 1 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Chelsea Benfica
HATHAT
Played011325
Wins—0%0%67%50%60%
Draws—0%0%0%50%20%
Loses—100%100%33%0%20%

Form: Chelsea: L • Benfica: WWDWL

League goals

Metric Chelsea Benfica
HATHAT
GF total011527
GF avg0.01.01.01.71.01.4
GA total033303
GA avg0.03.03.01.00.00.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineChelseaBenfica
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%100%80%20%
1.50%100%60%20%
2.50%100%0%20%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricChelseaBenfica
HATHAT
Clean sheets000224
Failed to score000011

Penalties

MetricChelseaBenfica
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricChelseaBenfica
Wins02
Draws01
Losses10

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins——2-00-2
Biggest losses—3-12-3—
Goals For0122
Goals Against0330

Model comparison

MetricChelseaBenfica
Form0%100%
Att13%88%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution0%0%
H2h100%0%
Goals78%22%
Total47.0%53.3%

Advice: Double chance : Chelsea or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.72 @ Betano
Draw4.14 @ 1xBet
Away5.37 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.74 @ 1xBet
Under 2.52.26 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.72 @ Pinnacle
No2.21 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Chelsea = 0.34 (league 1.75), Benfica = 2.31 (league 1.30)

Benfica
0 1 2 3 4 5
Chelsea 0 7.1% 16.3% 18.8% 14.5% 8.3% 3.9%
1 2.4% 5.6% 6.5% 5.0% 2.9% 1.3%
2 0.4% 1.0% 1.1% 0.9% 0.5% 0.2%
3 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 4.1% · Draw 13.9% · Away win 79.0%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1