Wed, Oct 1 2025 • 16:45 • Lotto Park
Match Finished
Expected Goals
3.44 (league 1.75) 0.77 (league 1.30)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
72.9% 8.9% 4.7%
best score tips
3 - 0
10.1%
2 - 0
8.8%
4 - 0
8.7%
Score & goals probability table
Newcastle
0 1 2 3 4 5
Union St. Gilloise 0 1.5% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 5.1% 3.9% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
2 8.8% 6.8% 2.6% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
3 10.1% 7.8% 3.0% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
4 8.7% 6.7% 2.6% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
5 6.0% 4.6% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricUnion St. GilloiseNewcastle
Played11
Form100%0%
Attack20%7%
Defense93%87%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 31 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)1 | 12 | 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

0.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

0.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

50%
FT probability

2.5+

35%
FT probability

3.5+

25%
FT probability

BTTS

78%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Union St. Gilloise Newcastle
HATHAT
Played011101
Wins—100%100%0%—0%
Draws—0%0%0%—0%
Loses—0%0%100%—100%

Form: Union St. Gilloise: W • Newcastle: L

League goals

Metric Union St. Gilloise Newcastle
HATHAT
GF total033101
GF avg0.03.03.01.00.01.0
GA total011202
GA avg0.01.01.02.00.02.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineUnion St. GilloiseNewcastle
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%100%100%100%
1.5100%0%0%100%
2.5100%0%0%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricUnion St. GilloiseNewcastle
HATHAT
Clean sheets000000
Failed to score000000

Penalties

MetricUnion St. GilloiseNewcastle
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricUnion St. GilloiseNewcastle
Wins10
Draws00
Losses01

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins—1-3——
Biggest losses——1-2—
Goals For0310
Goals Against0120

Model comparison

MetricUnion St. GilloiseNewcastle
Form100%0%
Att75%25%
Def67%33%
Poisson Distribution0%0%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total71.0%29.0%

Advice: Winner : Union St. Gilloise

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home4.11 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.80 @ Bet365
Away2.02 @ 188Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.07 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.05 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.91 @ Pinnacle
No2.20 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Union St. Gilloise = 3.44 (league 1.75), Newcastle = 0.77 (league 1.30)

Newcastle
0 1 2 3 4 5
Union St. Gilloise 0 1.5% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 5.1% 3.9% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
2 8.8% 6.8% 2.6% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
3 10.1% 7.8% 3.0% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
4 8.7% 6.7% 2.6% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
5 6.0% 4.6% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 72.9% · Draw 8.9% · Away win 4.7%

Vtot 2 , Vtod1