Wed, Oct 1 2025 • 19:00 • SIGNAL IDUNA PARK
Match Finished
Expected Goals
4.58 (league 1.75) 0.05 (league 1.34)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
67.7% 1.2% 0.1%
best score tips
4 - 0
17.9%
5 - 0
16.4%
3 - 0
15.6%
Score & goals probability table
Athletic Club
0 1 2 3 4 5
Borussia Dortmund 0 1.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 4.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 10.2% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 15.6% 0.8% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 17.9% 0.9% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 16.4% 0.8% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBorussia DortmundAthletic Club
Played11
Form33%0%
Attack27%0%
Defense73%87%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 40 | 0
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 42 | 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

0.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

6.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

0.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

71%
FT probability

2.5+

50%
FT probability

3.5+

36%
FT probability

BTTS

67%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Borussia Dortmund Athletic Club
HATHAT
Played011101
Wins—0%0%0%—0%
Draws—100%100%0%—0%
Loses—0%0%100%—100%

Form: Borussia Dortmund: D • Athletic Club: L

League goals

Metric Borussia Dortmund Athletic Club
HATHAT
GF total044000
GF avg0.04.04.00.00.00.0
GA total044202
GA avg0.04.04.02.00.02.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBorussia DortmundAthletic Club
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%100%0%100%
1.5100%100%0%100%
2.5100%100%0%0%
3.5100%100%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBorussia DortmundAthletic Club
HATHAT
Clean sheets000000
Failed to score000101

Penalties

MetricBorussia DortmundAthletic Club
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricBorussia DortmundAthletic Club
Wins00
Draws10
Losses01

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins————
Biggest losses——0-2—
Goals For0400
Goals Against0420

Model comparison

MetricBorussia DortmundAthletic Club
Form100%0%
Att100%0%
Def33%67%
Poisson Distribution0%0%
H2h0%100%
Goals0%100%
Total33.0%67.0%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Athletic Club and +2.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.82 @ 188Bet
Draw3.90 @ Betfair
Away5.00 @ Betfair

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.93 @ SBO
Under 2.52.01 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.82 @ Pinnacle
No2.06 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Borussia Dortmund = 4.58 (league 1.75), Athletic Club = 0.05 (league 1.34)

Athletic Club
0 1 2 3 4 5
Borussia Dortmund 0 1.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 4.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 10.2% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 15.6% 0.8% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 17.9% 0.9% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 16.4% 0.8% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 67.7% · Draw 1.2% · Away win 0.1%

Vtot 2 , Vtod1