Wed, Oct 1 2025 • 19:00 • Estadi Olímpic Lluís Companys
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.05 (league 1.75) 3.08 (league 1.30)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
0.2% 5.1% 85.5%
best score tips
0 - 3
21.3%
0 - 2
20.8%
0 - 4
16.4%
Score & goals probability table
Paris Saint Germain
0 1 2 3 4 5
Barcelona 0 4.4% 13.5% 20.8% 21.3% 16.4% 10.1%
1 0.2% 0.7% 1.0% 1.1% 0.8% 0.5%
2 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBarcelonaParis Saint Germain
Played11
Form100%100%
Attack12%24%
Defense94%100%
Goals For (tot | avg)2 | 24 | 4
Goals Against (tot | avg)1 | 10 | 0

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

6.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

0.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

0.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

50%
FT probability

2.5+

35%
FT probability

3.5+

25%
FT probability

BTTS

62%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Barcelona Paris Saint Germain
HATHAT
Played011101
Wins—100%100%100%—100%
Draws—0%0%0%—0%
Loses—0%0%0%—0%

Form: Barcelona: W • Paris Saint Germain: W

League goals

Metric Barcelona Paris Saint Germain
HATHAT
GF total022404
GF avg0.02.02.04.00.04.0
GA total011000
GA avg0.01.01.00.00.00.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBarcelonaParis Saint Germain
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%100%100%0%
1.5100%0%100%0%
2.50%0%100%0%
3.50%0%100%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBarcelonaParis Saint Germain
HATHAT
Clean sheets000101
Failed to score000000

Penalties

MetricBarcelonaParis Saint Germain
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricBarcelonaParis Saint Germain
Wins11
Draws00
Losses00

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins—1-24-0—
Biggest losses————
Goals For0240
Goals Against0100

Model comparison

MetricBarcelonaParis Saint Germain
Form50%50%
Att33%67%
Def0%100%
Poisson Distribution0%0%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total45.8%54.3%

Advice: Winner : Paris Saint Germain

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.78 @ 188Bet
Draw4.61 @ 1xBet
Away4.71 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.38 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.53.30 @ Betfair

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.45 @ Pinnacle
No3.00 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Barcelona = 0.05 (league 1.75), Paris Saint Germain = 3.08 (league 1.30)

Paris Saint Germain
0 1 2 3 4 5
Barcelona 0 4.4% 13.5% 20.8% 21.3% 16.4% 10.1%
1 0.2% 0.7% 1.0% 1.1% 0.8% 0.5%
2 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 0.2% · Draw 5.1% · Away win 85.5%

Vtot 7 , Vtod1