Wed, Oct 1 2025 • 19:00 • BayArena
Match Finished
Expected Goals
3.41 (league 1.76) 1.51 (league 1.32)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
60.5% 13.2% 12.8%
best score tips
3 - 1
7.3%
2 - 1
6.4%
4 - 1
6.2%
Score & goals probability table
PSV Eindhoven
0 1 2 3 4 5
Bayer Leverkusen 0 0.7% 1.1% 0.8% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0%
1 2.5% 3.8% 2.8% 1.4% 0.5% 0.2%
2 4.2% 6.4% 4.8% 2.4% 0.9% 0.3%
3 4.8% 7.3% 5.5% 2.8% 1.0% 0.3%
4 4.1% 6.2% 4.7% 2.4% 0.9% 0.3%
5 2.8% 4.2% 3.2% 1.6% 0.6% 0.2%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBayer LeverkusenPSV Eindhoven
Played11
Form33%0%
Attack13%7%
Defense87%80%
Goals For (tot | avg)2 | 21 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)2 | 23 | 3

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

0.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

5.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

0.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

57%
FT probability

2.5+

40%
FT probability

3.5+

29%
FT probability

BTTS

80%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Bayer Leverkusen PSV Eindhoven
HATHAT
Played011101
Wins—0%0%0%—0%
Draws—100%100%0%—0%
Loses—0%0%100%—100%

Form: Bayer Leverkusen: D • PSV Eindhoven: L

League goals

Metric Bayer Leverkusen PSV Eindhoven
HATHAT
GF total022101
GF avg0.02.02.01.00.01.0
GA total022303
GA avg0.02.02.03.00.03.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBayer LeverkusenPSV Eindhoven
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%100%100%100%
1.5100%100%0%100%
2.50%0%0%100%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBayer LeverkusenPSV Eindhoven
HATHAT
Clean sheets000000
Failed to score000000

Penalties

MetricBayer LeverkusenPSV Eindhoven
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricBayer LeverkusenPSV Eindhoven
Wins00
Draws10
Losses01

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins————
Biggest losses——1-3—
Goals For0210
Goals Against0230

Model comparison

MetricBayer LeverkusenPSV Eindhoven
Form100%0%
Att67%33%
Def60%40%
Poisson Distribution0%0%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total63.5%36.5%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Bayer Leverkusen or draw and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.91 @ Betano
Draw4.14 @ 1xBet
Away4.20 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.60 @ SBO
Under 2.52.50 @ Betfair

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.58 @ 188Bet
No2.64 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Bayer Leverkusen = 3.41 (league 1.76), PSV Eindhoven = 1.51 (league 1.32)

PSV Eindhoven
0 1 2 3 4 5
Bayer Leverkusen 0 0.7% 1.1% 0.8% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0%
1 2.5% 3.8% 2.8% 1.4% 0.5% 0.2%
2 4.2% 6.4% 4.8% 2.4% 0.9% 0.3%
3 4.8% 7.3% 5.5% 2.8% 1.0% 0.3%
4 4.1% 6.2% 4.7% 2.4% 0.9% 0.3%
5 2.8% 4.2% 3.2% 1.6% 0.6% 0.2%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 60.5% · Draw 13.2% · Away win 12.8%

Vtot 5 , Vtod1