Tue, Oct 21 2025 • 19:00 • Philips Stadion
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.14 (league 1.75) 2.25 (league 1.34)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
18.2% 19.5% 59.5%
best score tips
1 - 2
9.7%
1 - 1
8.7%
0 - 2
8.5%
Score & goals probability table
Napoli
0 1 2 3 4 5
PSV Eindhoven 0 3.4% 7.6% 8.5% 6.4% 3.6% 1.6%
1 3.9% 8.7% 9.7% 7.3% 4.1% 1.8%
2 2.2% 5.0% 5.6% 4.2% 2.3% 1.1%
3 0.8% 1.9% 2.1% 1.6% 0.9% 0.4%
4 0.2% 0.5% 0.6% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricPSV EindhovenNapoli
Played22
Form17%50%
Attack13%13%
Defense75%81%
Goals For (tot | avg)2 | 12 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 23 | 1.5

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

5.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

82%
FT probability

2.5+

58%
FT probability

3.5+

41%
FT probability

BTTS

77%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 1 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric PSV Eindhoven Napoli
HATHAT
Played112112
Wins0%0%0%100%0%50%
Draws0%100%50%0%0%0%
Loses100%0%50%0%100%50%

Form: PSV Eindhoven: LD • Napoli: LW

League goals

Metric PSV Eindhoven Napoli
HATHAT
GF total112202
GF avg1.01.01.02.00.01.0
GA total314123
GA avg3.01.02.01.02.01.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LinePSV EindhovenNapoli
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%100%50%100%
1.50%50%50%50%
2.50%50%0%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricPSV EindhovenNapoli
HATHAT
Clean sheets000000
Failed to score000011

Penalties

MetricPSV EindhovenNapoli
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricPSV EindhovenNapoli
Wins00
Draws00
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins——2-1—
Biggest losses1-3——2-0
Goals For1120
Goals Against3112

Model comparison

MetricPSV EindhovenNapoli
Form25%75%
Att50%50%
Def43%57%
Poisson Distribution100%0%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total39.3%60.7%

Advice: Double chance : PSV Eindhoven or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.39 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.75 @ 188Bet
Away2.28 @ Dafabet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.70 @ 1xBet
Under 2.52.33 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.56 @ Pinnacle
No2.55 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): PSV Eindhoven = 1.14 (league 1.75), Napoli = 2.25 (league 1.34)

Napoli
0 1 2 3 4 5
PSV Eindhoven 0 3.4% 7.6% 8.5% 6.4% 3.6% 1.6%
1 3.9% 8.7% 9.7% 7.3% 4.1% 1.8%
2 2.2% 5.0% 5.6% 4.2% 2.3% 1.1%
3 0.8% 1.9% 2.1% 1.6% 0.9% 0.4%
4 0.2% 0.5% 0.6% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 18.2% · Draw 19.5% · Away win 59.5%

Vtot 8 , Vtod1