Tue, Oct 21 2025 • 19:00 • BayArena
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.57 (league 1.75) 1.50 (league 1.34)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
14.1% 26.0% 59.5%
best score tips
0 - 1
18.9%
0 - 2
14.1%
0 - 0
12.6%
Score & goals probability table
Paris Saint Germain
0 1 2 3 4 5
Bayer Leverkusen 0 12.6% 18.9% 14.1% 7.1% 2.6% 0.8%
1 7.2% 10.8% 8.1% 4.0% 1.5% 0.5%
2 2.1% 3.1% 2.3% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1%
3 0.4% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBayer LeverkusenParis Saint Germain
Played22
Form33%100%
Attack20%40%
Defense80%93%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 1.56 | 3
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 1.51 | 0.5

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

82%
FT probability

2.5+

58%
FT probability

3.5+

41%
FT probability

BTTS

87%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Bayer Leverkusen Paris Saint Germain
HATHAT
Played112112
Wins0%0%0%100%100%100%
Draws100%100%100%0%0%0%
Loses0%0%0%0%0%0%

Form: Bayer Leverkusen: DD • Paris Saint Germain: WW

League goals

Metric Bayer Leverkusen Paris Saint Germain
HATHAT
GF total123426
GF avg1.02.01.54.02.03.0
GA total123011
GA avg1.02.01.50.01.00.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBayer LeverkusenParis Saint Germain
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%100%100%50%
1.550%50%100%0%
2.50%0%50%0%
3.50%0%50%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBayer LeverkusenParis Saint Germain
HATHAT
Clean sheets000101
Failed to score000000

Penalties

MetricBayer LeverkusenParis Saint Germain
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricBayer LeverkusenParis Saint Germain
Wins02
Draws20
Losses00

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins——4-01-2
Biggest losses————
Goals For1242
Goals Against1201

Model comparison

MetricBayer LeverkusenParis Saint Germain
Form25%75%
Att33%67%
Def25%75%
Poisson Distribution24%76%
H2h0%100%
Goals14%86%
Total24.2%75.8%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Paris Saint Germain

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home5.21 @ Pinnacle
Draw4.35 @ 188Bet
Away1.74 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.57 @ Betano
Under 2.52.58 @ SBO

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.59 @ 188Bet
No2.50 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Bayer Leverkusen = 0.57 (league 1.75), Paris Saint Germain = 1.50 (league 1.34)

Paris Saint Germain
0 1 2 3 4 5
Bayer Leverkusen 0 12.6% 18.9% 14.1% 7.1% 2.6% 0.8%
1 7.2% 10.8% 8.1% 4.0% 1.5% 0.5%
2 2.1% 3.1% 2.3% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1%
3 0.4% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 14.1% · Draw 26.0% · Away win 59.5%

Vtot 9 , Vtod1