Tue, Oct 21 2025 • 19:00 • Emirates Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
3.43 (league 1.75) 0.05 (league 1.34)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
82.8% 3.6% 0.2%
best score tips
3 - 0
20.7%
2 - 0
18.1%
4 - 0
17.8%
Score & goals probability table
Atletico Madrid
0 1 2 3 4 5
Arsenal 0 3.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 10.5% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 18.1% 0.9% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 20.7% 1.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 17.8% 0.9% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 12.2% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricArsenalAtletico Madrid
Played22
Form100%50%
Attack27%47%
Defense100%73%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 27 | 3.5
Goals Against (tot | avg)0 | 04 | 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

5.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

73%
FT probability

3.5+

52%
FT probability

BTTS

75%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Arsenal Atletico Madrid
HATHAT
Played112112
Wins100%100%100%100%0%50%
Draws0%0%0%0%0%0%
Loses0%0%0%0%100%50%

Form: Arsenal: WW • Atletico Madrid: LW

League goals

Metric Arsenal Atletico Madrid
HATHAT
GF total224527
GF avg2.02.02.05.02.03.5
GA total000134
GA avg0.00.00.01.03.02.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineArsenalAtletico Madrid
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%0%100%100%
1.5100%0%100%50%
2.50%0%50%50%
3.50%0%50%0%
4.50%0%50%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricArsenalAtletico Madrid
HATHAT
Clean sheets112000
Failed to score000000

Penalties

MetricArsenalAtletico Madrid
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricArsenalAtletico Madrid
Wins20
Draws00
Losses01

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-00-25-1—
Biggest losses———3-2
Goals For2252
Goals Against0013

Model comparison

MetricArsenalAtletico Madrid
Form67%33%
Att36%64%
Def100%0%
Poisson Distribution100%0%
H2h29%71%
Goals40%60%
Total43.0%57.0%

Advice: Double chance : Arsenal or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.63 @ Dafabet
Draw4.24 @ 1xBet
Away6.50 @ Betfair

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.94 @ 1xBet
Under 2.52.01 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.99 @ Pinnacle
No1.88 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Arsenal = 3.43 (league 1.75), Atletico Madrid = 0.05 (league 1.34)

Atletico Madrid
0 1 2 3 4 5
Arsenal 0 3.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 10.5% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 18.1% 0.9% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 20.7% 1.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 17.8% 0.9% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 12.2% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 82.8% · Draw 3.6% · Away win 0.2%

Vtot 7 , Vtod1