Wed, Oct 22 2025 • 16:45 • Estadio de San Mamés
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.23 (league 1.75) 3.74 (league 1.34)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
0.7% 3.9% 77.8%
best score tips
0 - 3
16.5%
0 - 4
15.4%
0 - 2
13.2%
Score & goals probability table
Qarabag
0 1 2 3 4 5
Athletic Club 0 1.9% 7.1% 13.2% 16.5% 15.4% 11.5%
1 0.4% 1.6% 3.0% 3.8% 3.5% 2.6%
2 0.0% 0.2% 0.3% 0.4% 0.4% 0.3%
3 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAthletic ClubQarabag
Played25
Form0%80%
Attack4%63%
Defense75%71%
Goals For (tot | avg)1 | 0.515 | 3
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 37 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

87%
FT probability

2.5+

61%
FT probability

3.5+

44%
FT probability

BTTS

67%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Athletic Club Qarabag
HATHAT
Played112448
Wins0%0%0%75%100%88%
Draws0%0%0%0%0%0%
Loses100%100%100%25%0%13%

Form: Athletic Club: LL • Qarabag: WWWWWLWW

League goals

Metric Athletic Club Qarabag
HATHAT
GF total011101020
GF avg0.01.00.52.52.52.5
GA total246437
GA avg2.04.03.01.00.80.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAthletic ClubQarabag
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.550%100%100%50%
1.50%100%75%25%
2.50%50%50%13%
3.50%50%13%0%
4.50%0%13%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAthletic ClubQarabag
HATHAT
Clean sheets000224
Failed to score101000

Penalties

MetricAthletic ClubQarabag
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total02

Streaks

MetricAthletic ClubQarabag
Wins05
Draws00
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins——5-10-3
Biggest losses0-24-12-3—
Goals For0153
Goals Against2432

Model comparison

MetricAthletic ClubQarabag
Form0%100%
Att6%94%
Def54%46%
Poisson Distribution0%100%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total30.0%70.0%

Advice: Combo Winner : Qarabag and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.40 @ 1xBet
Draw5.66 @ 1xBet
Away10.00 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.70 @ 1xBet
Under 2.52.35 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.05 @ Pinnacle
No1.83 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Athletic Club = 0.23 (league 1.75), Qarabag = 3.74 (league 1.34)

Qarabag
0 1 2 3 4 5
Athletic Club 0 1.9% 7.1% 13.2% 16.5% 15.4% 11.5%
1 0.4% 1.6% 3.0% 3.8% 3.5% 2.6%
2 0.0% 0.2% 0.3% 0.4% 0.4% 0.3%
3 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 0.7% · Draw 3.9% · Away win 77.8%

Vtot 10 , Vtod1