Wed, Oct 22 2025 • 19:00 • Stamford Bridge
Match Finished
5 - 1
Expected Goals
2.27 (league 1.76) 0.05 (league 1.32)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
85.7% 11.0% 0.5%
best score tips
2 - 0
25.3%
1 - 0
22.3%
3 - 0
19.2%
Score & goals probability table
Ajax
0 1 2 3 4 5
Chelsea 0 9.8% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 22.3% 1.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 25.3% 1.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 19.2% 1.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 10.9% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 4.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricChelseaAjax
Played22
Form50%0%
Attack8%0%
Defense88%75%
Goals For (tot | avg)2 | 10 | 0
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 1.56 | 3

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

75%
FT probability

2.5+

53%
FT probability

3.5+

38%
FT probability

BTTS

56%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Chelsea Ajax
HATHAT
Played112112
Wins100%0%50%0%0%0%
Draws0%0%0%0%0%0%
Loses0%100%50%100%100%100%

Form: Chelsea: LW • Ajax: LL

League goals

Metric Chelsea Ajax
HATHAT
GF total112000
GF avg1.01.01.00.00.00.0
GA total033246
GA avg0.03.01.52.04.03.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineChelseaAjax
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%50%0%100%
1.50%50%0%100%
2.50%50%0%50%
3.50%0%0%50%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricChelseaAjax
HATHAT
Clean sheets101000
Failed to score000112

Penalties

MetricChelseaAjax
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricChelseaAjax
Wins00
Draws00
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-0———
Biggest losses—3-10-24-0
Goals For1100
Goals Against0324

Model comparison

MetricChelseaAjax
Form100%0%
Att100%0%
Def67%33%
Poisson Distribution100%0%
H2h80%20%
Goals56%44%
Total67.7%32.3%

Advice: Winner : Chelsea

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.38 @ Betway
Draw6.80 @ Dafabet
Away11.00 @ Dafabet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.49 @ Unibet
Under 2.52.80 @ Bwin

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.79 @ Unibet
No2.17 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Chelsea = 2.27 (league 1.76), Ajax = 0.05 (league 1.32)

Ajax
0 1 2 3 4 5
Chelsea 0 9.8% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 22.3% 1.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 25.3% 1.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 19.2% 1.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 10.9% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 4.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 85.7% · Draw 11.0% · Away win 0.5%

Vtot 8 , Vtod1