Tue, Nov 4 2025 • 20:00 • Riyadh Air Metropolitano
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.86 (league 1.75) 2.25 (league 1.34)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
44.8% 17.5% 28.2%
best score tips
2 - 2
6.2%
3 - 2
6.0%
2 - 1
5.6%
Score & goals probability table
Union St. Gilloise
0 1 2 3 4 5
Atletico Madrid 0 0.6% 1.4% 1.5% 1.1% 0.6% 0.3%
1 1.7% 3.9% 4.4% 3.3% 1.8% 0.8%
2 2.5% 5.6% 6.2% 4.7% 2.6% 1.2%
3 2.4% 5.3% 6.0% 4.5% 2.5% 1.1%
4 1.7% 3.8% 4.3% 3.2% 1.8% 0.8%
5 1.0% 2.2% 2.4% 1.8% 1.0% 0.5%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAtletico MadridUnion St. Gilloise
Played33
Form33%33%
Attack37%16%
Defense58%53%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 2.33 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 2.79 | 3

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

8.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

5.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

85%
FT probability

3.5+

68%
FT probability

BTTS

89%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Atletico Madrid Union St. Gilloise
HATHAT
Played123213
Wins100%0%33%0%100%33%
Draws0%0%0%0%0%0%
Loses0%100%67%100%0%67%

Form: Atletico Madrid: LWL • Union St. Gilloise: WLL

League goals

Metric Atletico Madrid Union St. Gilloise
HATHAT
GF total527033
GF avg5.01.02.30.03.01.0
GA total178819
GA avg1.03.52.74.01.03.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAtletico MadridUnion St. Gilloise
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.567%100%33%100%
1.567%67%33%67%
2.533%67%33%67%
3.533%33%0%67%
4.533%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAtletico MadridUnion St. Gilloise
HATHAT
Clean sheets000000
Failed to score011202

Penalties

MetricAtletico MadridUnion St. Gilloise
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricAtletico MadridUnion St. Gilloise
Wins11
Draws00
Losses10

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-1——1-3
Biggest losses—4-00-4—
Goals For5203
Goals Against1441

Model comparison

MetricAtletico MadridUnion St. Gilloise
Form50%50%
Att70%30%
Def53%47%
Poisson Distribution52%48%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total56.3%43.8%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Atletico Madrid or draw and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.29 @ 1xBet
Draw7.00 @ Betfair
Away13.00 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.53 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.70 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.10 @ Unibet
No1.83 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Atletico Madrid = 2.86 (league 1.75), Union St. Gilloise = 2.25 (league 1.34)

Union St. Gilloise
0 1 2 3 4 5
Atletico Madrid 0 0.6% 1.4% 1.5% 1.1% 0.6% 0.3%
1 1.7% 3.9% 4.4% 3.3% 1.8% 0.8%
2 2.5% 5.6% 6.2% 4.7% 2.6% 1.2%
3 2.4% 5.3% 6.0% 4.5% 2.5% 1.1%
4 1.7% 3.8% 4.3% 3.2% 1.8% 0.8%
5 1.0% 2.2% 2.4% 1.8% 1.0% 0.5%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 44.8% · Draw 17.5% · Away win 28.2%

Vtot 33 , Vtod1