Tue, Nov 4 2025 • 20:00 • Parc des Princes
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.27 (league 1.76) 3.78 (league 1.32)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
17.9% 13.7% 47.9%
best score tips
2 - 3
5.5%
2 - 4
5.2%
1 - 3
4.8%
Score & goals probability table
Bayern München
0 1 2 3 4 5
Paris Saint Germain 0 0.2% 0.9% 1.7% 2.1% 2.0% 1.5%
1 0.5% 2.0% 3.8% 4.8% 4.6% 3.4%
2 0.6% 2.3% 4.3% 5.5% 5.2% 3.9%
3 0.5% 1.7% 3.3% 4.1% 3.9% 3.0%
4 0.3% 1.0% 1.9% 2.4% 2.2% 1.7%
5 0.1% 0.4% 0.8% 1.1% 1.0% 0.8%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricParis Saint GermainBayern München
Played33
Form100%100%
Attack68%63%
Defense84%89%
Goals For (tot | avg)13 | 4.312 | 4
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 12 | 0.7

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

8.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

9.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

85%
FT probability

3.5+

70%
FT probability

BTTS

83%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Paris Saint Germain Bayern München
HATHAT
Played123213
Wins100%100%100%100%100%100%
Draws0%0%0%0%0%0%
Loses0%0%0%0%0%0%

Form: Paris Saint Germain: WWW • Bayern München: WWW

League goals

Metric Paris Saint Germain Bayern München
HATHAT
GF total49137512
GF avg4.04.54.33.55.04.0
GA total033112
GA avg0.01.51.00.51.00.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineParis Saint GermainBayern München
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%67%100%67%
1.5100%33%100%0%
2.567%0%100%0%
3.567%0%67%0%
4.533%0%33%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricParis Saint GermainBayern München
HATHAT
Clean sheets101101
Failed to score000000

Penalties

MetricParis Saint GermainBayern München
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricParis Saint GermainBayern München
Wins33
Draws00
Losses00

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-02-74-01-5
Biggest losses
Goals For4745
Goals Against0211

Model comparison

MetricParis Saint GermainBayern München
Form50%50%
Att52%48%
Def40%60%
Poisson Distribution100%0%
H2h20%80%
Goals29%71%
Total38.2%61.8%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Bayern München and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.60 @ Pinnacle
Draw4.10 @ 1xBet
Away2.66 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.45 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.95 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.39 @ 188Bet
No3.17 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Paris Saint Germain = 2.27 (league 1.76), Bayern München = 3.78 (league 1.32)

Bayern München
0 1 2 3 4 5
Paris Saint Germain 0 0.2% 0.9% 1.7% 2.1% 2.0% 1.5%
1 0.5% 2.0% 3.8% 4.8% 4.6% 3.4%
2 0.6% 2.3% 4.3% 5.5% 5.2% 3.9%
3 0.5% 1.7% 3.3% 4.1% 3.9% 3.0%
4 0.3% 1.0% 1.9% 2.4% 2.2% 1.7%
5 0.1% 0.4% 0.8% 1.1% 1.0% 0.8%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 17.9% · Draw 13.7% · Away win 47.9%

Vtot 43 , Vtod1