Wed, Nov 5 2025 • 17:45 • Alphamega Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.74 (league 1.76) 0.94 (league 1.34)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
27.4% 34.1% 38.5%
best score tips
0 - 0
18.7%
0 - 1
17.5%
1 - 0
13.8%
Score & goals probability table
Villarreal
0 1 2 3 4 5
Pafos 0 18.7% 17.5% 8.2% 2.6% 0.6% 0.1%
1 13.8% 13.0% 6.1% 1.9% 0.4% 0.1%
2 5.1% 4.8% 2.2% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
3 1.3% 1.2% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricPafosVillarreal
Played53
Form40%11%
Attack33%17%
Defense42%58%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.82 | 0.7
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.45 | 1.7

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

60%
FT probability

2.5+

42%
FT probability

3.5+

30%
FT probability

BTTS

61%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Pafos Villarreal
HATHAT
Played459213
Wins25%60%44%0%0%0%
Draws50%40%44%50%0%33%
Loses25%0%11%50%100%67%

Form: Pafos: DWWWWDDLD • Villarreal: LDL

League goals

Metric Pafos Villarreal
HATHAT
GF total549202
GF avg1.30.81.01.00.00.7
GA total718415
GA avg1.80.20.92.01.01.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LinePafosVillarreal
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.578%44%33%100%
1.522%11%33%67%
2.50%11%0%0%
3.50%11%0%0%
4.50%11%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricPafosVillarreal
HATHAT
Clean sheets145000
Failed to score022112

Penalties

MetricPafosVillarreal
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricPafosVillarreal
Wins40
Draws21
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-01-2——
Biggest losses1-5—0-21-0
Goals For2220
Goals Against5121

Model comparison

MetricPafosVillarreal
Form86%14%
Att67%33%
Def42%58%
Poisson Distribution100%0%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total65.0%35.0%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Pafos or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home10.00 @ 1xBet
Draw5.50 @ Bet365
Away1.43 @ 188Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.69 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.40 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.13 @ Pinnacle
No2.00 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Pafos = 0.74 (league 1.76), Villarreal = 0.94 (league 1.34)

Villarreal
0 1 2 3 4 5
Pafos 0 18.7% 17.5% 8.2% 2.6% 0.6% 0.1%
1 13.8% 13.0% 6.1% 1.9% 0.4% 0.1%
2 5.1% 4.8% 2.2% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
3 1.3% 1.2% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 27.4% · Draw 34.1% · Away win 38.5%

vtt 44 , vtd1