Wed, Nov 5 2025 • 20:00 • Etihad Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
3.44 (league 1.75) 2.15 (league 1.30)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
49.5% 15.0% 20.1%
best score tips
3 - 2
5.9%
3 - 1
5.4%
2 - 2
5.1%
Score & goals probability table
Borussia Dortmund
0 1 2 3 4 5
Manchester City 0 0.4% 0.8% 0.9% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1%
1 1.3% 2.8% 3.0% 2.1% 1.2% 0.5%
2 2.2% 4.7% 5.1% 3.7% 2.0% 0.9%
3 2.5% 5.4% 5.9% 4.2% 2.3% 1.0%
4 2.2% 4.7% 5.0% 3.6% 1.9% 0.8%
5 1.5% 3.2% 3.5% 2.5% 1.3% 0.6%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricManchester CityBorussia Dortmund
Played33
Form78%78%
Attack55%100%
Defense82%36%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 212 | 4
Goals Against (tot | avg)2 | 0.77 | 2.3

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

6.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

6.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

85%
FT probability

3.5+

64%
FT probability

BTTS

81%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Manchester City Borussia Dortmund
HATHAT
Played123123
Wins100%50%67%100%50%67%
Draws0%50%33%0%50%33%
Loses0%0%0%0%0%0%

Form: Manchester City: WDW • Borussia Dortmund: DWW

League goals

Metric Manchester City Borussia Dortmund
HATHAT
GF total2464812
GF avg2.02.02.04.04.04.0
GA total022167
GA avg0.01.00.71.03.02.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineManchester CityBorussia Dortmund
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%33%100%100%
1.5100%33%100%67%
2.50%0%100%33%
3.50%0%100%33%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricManchester CityBorussia Dortmund
HATHAT
Clean sheets112000
Failed to score000000

Penalties

MetricManchester CityBorussia Dortmund
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total02

Streaks

MetricManchester CityBorussia Dortmund
Wins10
Draws11
Losses00

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-00-24-12-4
Biggest losses————
Goals For2244
Goals Against0214

Model comparison

MetricManchester CityBorussia Dortmund
Form50%50%
Att33%67%
Def78%22%
Poisson Distribution100%0%
H2h71%29%
Goals60%40%
Total58.4%41.6%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Manchester City or draw and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.49 @ 188Bet
Draw5.31 @ 1xBet
Away7.55 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.50 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.80 @ Betfair

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.70 @ Bet365
No2.42 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Manchester City = 3.44 (league 1.75), Borussia Dortmund = 2.15 (league 1.30)

Borussia Dortmund
0 1 2 3 4 5
Manchester City 0 0.4% 0.8% 0.9% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1%
1 1.3% 2.8% 3.0% 2.1% 1.2% 0.5%
2 2.2% 4.7% 5.1% 3.7% 2.0% 0.9%
3 2.5% 5.4% 5.9% 4.2% 2.3% 1.0%
4 2.2% 4.7% 5.0% 3.6% 1.9% 0.8%
5 1.5% 3.2% 3.5% 2.5% 1.3% 0.6%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 49.5% · Draw 15.0% · Away win 20.1%

Vtot 36 , Vtod1