Wed, Nov 5 2025 • 20:00 • St. James' Park
Match Finished
Expected Goals
4.58 (league 1.75) 0.77 (league 1.30)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
62.6% 4.3% 2.0%
best score tips
4 - 0
8.7%
5 - 0
8.0%
3 - 0
7.6%
Score & goals probability table
Athletic Club
0 1 2 3 4 5
Newcastle 0 0.5% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 2.2% 1.7% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
2 5.0% 3.8% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 7.6% 5.9% 2.3% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
4 8.7% 6.7% 2.6% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
5 8.0% 6.1% 2.4% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricNewcastleAthletic Club
Played33
Form67%33%
Attack67%33%
Defense83%42%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 2.74 | 1.3
Goals Against (tot | avg)2 | 0.77 | 2.3

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

5.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

75%
FT probability

3.5+

54%
FT probability

BTTS

80%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Newcastle Athletic Club
HATHAT
Played213213
Wins50%100%67%50%0%33%
Draws0%0%0%0%0%0%
Loses50%0%33%50%100%67%

Form: Newcastle: LWW • Athletic Club: LLW

League goals

Metric Newcastle Athletic Club
HATHAT
GF total448314
GF avg2.04.02.71.51.01.3
GA total202347
GA avg1.00.00.71.54.02.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineNewcastleAthletic Club
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%33%67%100%
1.567%33%33%67%
2.567%0%33%33%
3.533%0%0%33%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricNewcastleAthletic Club
HATHAT
Clean sheets112000
Failed to score000101

Penalties

MetricNewcastleAthletic Club
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total20

Streaks

MetricNewcastleAthletic Club
Wins00
Draws00
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-43-1—
Biggest losses1-2—0-24-1
Goals For3431
Goals Against2024

Model comparison

MetricNewcastleAthletic Club
Form67%33%
Att67%33%
Def78%22%
Poisson Distribution84%16%
H2h100%0%
Goals67%33%
Total72.6%27.4%

Advice: Combo Winner : Newcastle and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.42 @ 188Bet
Draw5.13 @ 1xBet
Away9.50 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.88 @ 1xBet
Under 2.52.07 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.20 @ Unibet
No1.82 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Newcastle = 4.58 (league 1.75), Athletic Club = 0.77 (league 1.30)

Athletic Club
0 1 2 3 4 5
Newcastle 0 0.5% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 2.2% 1.7% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
2 5.0% 3.8% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 7.6% 5.9% 2.3% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
4 8.7% 6.7% 2.6% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
5 8.0% 6.1% 2.4% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 62.6% · Draw 4.3% · Away win 2.0%

Vtot 27 , Vtod1