Wed, Nov 5 2025 • 20:00 • Orange Vélodrome
Match Finished
Expected Goals
9.08 (league 1.76) 0.69 (league 1.32)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
10.9% 0.2% 0.0%
best score tips
5 - 0
2.9%
5 - 1
2.0%
4 - 0
1.6%
Score & goals probability table
Atalanta
0 1 2 3 4 5
Marseille 0 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.7% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.6% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 2.9% 2.0% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMarseilleAtalanta
Played33
Form33%44%
Attack55%18%
Defense64%55%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 22 | 0.7
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 1.35 | 1.7

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

69%
FT probability

3.5+

49%
FT probability

BTTS

60%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Marseille Atalanta
HATHAT
Played123213
Wins100%0%33%50%0%33%
Draws0%0%0%50%0%33%
Loses0%100%67%0%100%33%

Form: Marseille: LWL • Atalanta: LWD

League goals

Metric Marseille Atalanta
HATHAT
GF total426202
GF avg4.01.02.01.00.00.7
GA total044145
GA avg0.02.01.30.54.01.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMarseilleAtalanta
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%67%33%67%
1.533%67%33%33%
2.533%0%0%33%
3.533%0%0%33%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMarseilleAtalanta
HATHAT
Clean sheets101101
Failed to score000112

Penalties

MetricMarseilleAtalanta
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricMarseilleAtalanta
Wins11
Draws00
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-0—2-1—
Biggest losses—2-1—4-0
Goals For4120
Goals Against0214

Model comparison

MetricMarseilleAtalanta
Form43%57%
Att75%25%
Def56%44%
Poisson Distribution100%0%
H2h20%80%
Goals20%80%
Total42.8%57.2%

Advice: Combo Winner : Marseille and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.50 @ 10Bet
Draw3.70 @ 188Bet
Away3.15 @ 188Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.87 @ 1xBet
Under 2.52.08 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.66 @ Pinnacle
No2.47 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Marseille = 9.08 (league 1.76), Atalanta = 0.69 (league 1.32)

Atalanta
0 1 2 3 4 5
Marseille 0 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.7% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.6% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 2.9% 2.0% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 10.9% · Draw 0.2% · Away win 0.0%

Vtot 38 , Vtod1