Tue, Nov 25 2025 • 17:45 • Johan Cruijff Arena
Match Finished
0 - 2
Expected Goals
0.17 (league 1.76) 0.93 (league 1.34)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
6.7% 38.7% 54.6%
best score tips
0 - 0
33.3%
0 - 1
30.9%
0 - 2
14.4%
Score & goals probability table
Benfica
0 1 2 3 4 5
Ajax 0 33.3% 30.9% 14.4% 4.5% 1.0% 0.2%
1 5.7% 5.3% 2.5% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
2 0.5% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAjaxBenfica
Played45
Form0%20%
Attack10%30%
Defense0%20%
Goals For (tot | avg)1 | 0.33 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)14 | 3.58 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

0.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

69%
FT probability

2.5+

49%
FT probability

3.5+

35%
FT probability

BTTS

50%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Ajax Benfica
HATHAT
Played224448
Wins0%0%0%50%25%38%
Draws0%0%0%0%25%13%
Loses100%100%100%50%50%50%

Form: Ajax: LLLL • Benfica: WWDWLLLL

League goals

Metric Ajax Benfica
HATHAT
GF total011527
GF avg0.00.50.31.30.50.9
GA total5914448
GA avg2.54.53.51.01.01.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAjaxBenfica
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.525%100%50%50%
1.50%100%38%25%
2.50%75%0%25%
3.50%50%0%0%
4.50%25%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAjaxBenfica
HATHAT
Clean sheets000224
Failed to score213134

Penalties

MetricAjaxBenfica
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricAjaxBenfica
Wins02
Draws01
Losses40

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins——2-00-2
Biggest losses0-35-12-33-0
Goals For0122
Goals Against3533

Model comparison

MetricAjaxBenfica
Form0%100%
Att25%75%
Def36%64%
Poisson Distribution0%100%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total40.3%59.8%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Benfica

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.62 @ 1xBet
Draw3.72 @ Pinnacle
Away2.13 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.77 @ 188Bet
Under 2.52.31 @ SBO

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.59 @ Pinnacle
No2.46 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Ajax = 0.17 (league 1.76), Benfica = 0.93 (league 1.34)

Benfica
0 1 2 3 4 5
Ajax 0 33.3% 30.9% 14.4% 4.5% 1.0% 0.2%
1 5.7% 5.3% 2.5% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
2 0.5% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 6.7% · Draw 38.7% · Away win 54.6%

vtt 45 , vtd1