Tue, Nov 25 2025 • 20:00 • Etihad Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.70 (league 1.76) 0.57 (league 1.32)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
64.3% 23.0% 11.9%
best score tips
1 - 0
17.6%
2 - 0
15.0%
0 - 0
10.3%
Score & goals probability table
Bayer Leverkusen
0 1 2 3 4 5
Manchester City 0 10.3% 5.9% 1.7% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
1 17.6% 10.0% 2.8% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
2 15.0% 8.5% 2.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
3 8.5% 4.8% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
4 3.6% 2.1% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.2% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricManchester CityBayer Leverkusen
Played44
Form83%42%
Attack100%60%
Defense70%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)10 | 2.56 | 1.5
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.810 | 2.5

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

67%
FT probability

3.5+

48%
FT probability

BTTS

76%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Manchester City Bayer Leverkusen
HATHAT
Played224224
Wins100%50%75%0%50%25%
Draws0%50%25%50%50%50%
Loses0%0%0%50%0%25%

Form: Manchester City: WDWW • Bayer Leverkusen: DDLW

League goals

Metric Manchester City Bayer Leverkusen
HATHAT
GF total6410336
GF avg3.02.02.51.51.51.5
GA total1238210
GA avg0.51.00.84.01.02.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineManchester CityBayer Leverkusen
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%50%100%75%
1.5100%25%50%50%
2.525%0%0%25%
3.525%0%0%25%
4.50%0%0%25%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricManchester CityBayer Leverkusen
HATHAT
Clean sheets112011
Failed to score000000

Penalties

MetricManchester CityBayer Leverkusen
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricManchester CityBayer Leverkusen
Wins10
Draws12
Losses01

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-10-2—0-1
Biggest losses——2-7—
Goals For4222
Goals Against1272

Model comparison

MetricManchester CityBayer Leverkusen
Form67%33%
Att63%38%
Def77%23%
Poisson Distribution73%27%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total70.0%30.3%

Advice: Double chance : Manchester City or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.31 @ Betano
Draw6.50 @ Bet365
Away11.00 @ 10Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.37 @ Betano
Under 2.53.50 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.73 @ Pinnacle
No2.20 @ 10Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Manchester City = 1.70 (league 1.76), Bayer Leverkusen = 0.57 (league 1.32)

Bayer Leverkusen
0 1 2 3 4 5
Manchester City 0 10.3% 5.9% 1.7% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
1 17.6% 10.0% 2.8% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
2 15.0% 8.5% 2.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
3 8.5% 4.8% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
4 3.6% 2.1% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.2% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 64.3% · Draw 23.0% · Away win 11.9%

Vtot 55 , Vtod1