Tue, Nov 25 2025 • 20:00 • Stamford Bridge
Match Finished
Expected Goals
3.41 (league 1.76) 0.94 (league 1.32)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
70.2% 10.2% 6.5%
best score tips
3 - 0
8.5%
3 - 1
8.0%
2 - 0
7.5%
Score & goals probability table
Barcelona
0 1 2 3 4 5
Chelsea 0 1.3% 1.2% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 4.4% 4.2% 2.0% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
2 7.5% 7.1% 3.3% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
3 8.5% 8.0% 3.8% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
4 7.2% 6.8% 3.2% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
5 4.9% 4.7% 2.2% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricChelseaBarcelona
Played44
Form58%58%
Attack90%100%
Defense40%30%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 2.312 | 3
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.57 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

5.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

5.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

83%
FT probability

3.5+

59%
FT probability

BTTS

89%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Chelsea Barcelona
HATHAT
Played224224
Wins100%0%50%50%50%50%
Draws0%50%25%0%50%25%
Loses0%50%25%50%0%25%

Form: Chelsea: LWWD • Barcelona: WLWD

League goals

Metric Chelsea Barcelona
HATHAT
GF total6397512
GF avg3.01.52.33.52.53.0
GA total156347
GA avg0.52.51.51.52.01.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineChelseaBarcelona
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%75%100%100%
1.550%50%75%50%
2.525%25%50%25%
3.525%0%25%0%
4.525%0%25%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricChelseaBarcelona
HATHAT
Clean sheets101000
Failed to score000000

Penalties

MetricChelseaBarcelona
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total21

Streaks

MetricChelseaBarcelona
Wins21
Draws00
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-1—6-11-2
Biggest losses—3-11-2—
Goals For5263
Goals Against1323

Model comparison

MetricChelseaBarcelona
Form50%50%
Att43%57%
Def54%46%
Poisson Distribution76%24%
H2h50%50%
Goals40%60%
Total52.2%47.8%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Chelsea or draw and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.33 @ 1xBet
Draw4.05 @ Betano
Away3.09 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.48 @ 10Bet
Under 2.52.85 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.42 @ 188Bet
No3.01 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Chelsea = 3.41 (league 1.76), Barcelona = 0.94 (league 1.32)

Barcelona
0 1 2 3 4 5
Chelsea 0 1.3% 1.2% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 4.4% 4.2% 2.0% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
2 7.5% 7.1% 3.3% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
3 8.5% 8.0% 3.8% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
4 7.2% 6.8% 3.2% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
5 4.9% 4.7% 2.2% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 70.2% · Draw 10.2% · Away win 6.5%

Vtot 58 , Vtod1