Tue, Nov 25 2025 • 20:00 • Stadio Diego Armando Maradona
Match Finished
2 - 0
Expected Goals
0.65 (league 1.84) 0.80 (league 1.37)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
26.9% 37.3% 35.8%
best score tips
0 - 0
23.3%
0 - 1
18.7%
1 - 0
15.2%
Score & goals probability table
Qarabag
0 1 2 3 4 5
Napoli 0 23.3% 18.7% 7.5% 2.0% 0.4% 0.1%
1 15.2% 12.2% 4.9% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0%
2 5.0% 4.0% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 1.1% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricNapoliQarabag
Played45
Form33%47%
Attack40%100%
Defense10%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 110 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 2.310 | 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

84%
FT probability

2.5+

59%
FT probability

3.5+

42%
FT probability

BTTS

66%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Napoli Qarabag
HATHAT
Played2245510
Wins50%0%25%60%80%70%
Draws50%0%25%20%0%10%
Loses0%100%50%20%20%20%

Form: Napoli: LWLD • Qarabag: WWWWWLWWLD

League goals

Metric Napoli Qarabag
HATHAT
GF total224121123
GF avg1.01.01.02.42.22.3
GA total1896612
GA avg0.54.02.31.21.21.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineNapoliQarabag
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.550%75%100%60%
1.550%50%70%40%
2.50%25%40%20%
3.50%25%10%0%
4.50%25%10%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricNapoliQarabag
HATHAT
Clean sheets101224
Failed to score112000

Penalties

MetricNapoliQarabag
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total03

Streaks

MetricNapoliQarabag
Wins15
Draws00
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-1—5-10-3
Biggest losses—6-22-33-1
Goals For2253
Goals Against1633

Model comparison

MetricNapoliQarabag
Form36%64%
Att29%71%
Def53%47%
Poisson Distribution42%58%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total40.0%60.0%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Qarabag

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.30 @ 1xBet
Draw6.34 @ Pinnacle
Away12.00 @ Bet365

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.50 @ 10Bet
Under 2.52.75 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.97 @ Unibet
No1.93 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Napoli = 0.65 (league 1.84), Qarabag = 0.80 (league 1.37)

Qarabag
0 1 2 3 4 5
Napoli 0 23.3% 18.7% 7.5% 2.0% 0.4% 0.1%
1 15.2% 12.2% 4.9% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0%
2 5.0% 4.0% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 1.1% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 26.9% · Draw 37.3% · Away win 35.8%

vtt 39 , vtd1