Tue, Nov 25 2025 • 20:00 • Signal Iduna Park
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.27 (league 1.76) 0.38 (league 1.32)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
77.8% 14.6% 4.7%
best score tips
2 - 0
18.2%
1 - 0
16.1%
3 - 0
13.8%
Score & goals probability table
Villarreal
0 1 2 3 4 5
Borussia Dortmund 0 7.1% 2.7% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 16.1% 6.1% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 18.2% 6.9% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 13.8% 5.2% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 7.8% 3.0% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 3.6% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBorussia DortmundVillarreal
Played44
Form58%8%
Attack100%20%
Defense0%40%
Goals For (tot | avg)13 | 3.32 | 0.5
Goals Against (tot | avg)11 | 2.86 | 1.5

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

71%
FT probability

3.5+

50%
FT probability

BTTS

77%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Borussia Dortmund Villarreal
HATHAT
Played134224
Wins100%33%50%0%0%0%
Draws0%33%25%50%0%25%
Loses0%33%25%50%100%75%

Form: Borussia Dortmund: DWWL • Villarreal: LDLL

League goals

Metric Borussia Dortmund Villarreal
HATHAT
GF total4913202
GF avg4.03.03.31.00.00.5
GA total11011426
GA avg1.03.32.82.01.01.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBorussia DortmundVillarreal
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%100%25%100%
1.575%75%25%50%
2.575%50%0%0%
3.575%50%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBorussia DortmundVillarreal
HATHAT
Clean sheets000000
Failed to score000123

Penalties

MetricBorussia DortmundVillarreal
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total20

Streaks

MetricBorussia DortmundVillarreal
Wins20
Draws11
Losses01

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-12-4——
Biggest losses—4-10-21-0
Goals For4420
Goals Against1421

Model comparison

MetricBorussia DortmundVillarreal
Form88%13%
Att87%13%
Def35%65%
Poisson Distribution100%0%
H2h20%80%
Goals33%67%
Total52.6%47.6%

Advice: Winner : Borussia Dortmund

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.89 @ 1xBet
Draw3.95 @ Betano
Away4.32 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.68 @ 1xBet
Under 2.52.38 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.61 @ Marathonbet
No2.45 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Borussia Dortmund = 2.27 (league 1.76), Villarreal = 0.38 (league 1.32)

Villarreal
0 1 2 3 4 5
Borussia Dortmund 0 7.1% 2.7% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 16.1% 6.1% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 18.2% 6.9% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 13.8% 5.2% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 7.8% 3.0% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 3.6% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 77.8% · Draw 14.6% · Away win 4.7%

Vtot 36 , Vtod1