Wed, Nov 26 2025 • 20:00 • Riyadh Air Metropolitano
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.68 (league 1.76) 2.27 (league 1.32)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
9.6% 17.1% 70.5%
best score tips
0 - 2
13.5%
0 - 1
11.9%
0 - 3
10.2%
Score & goals probability table
Inter
0 1 2 3 4 5
Atletico Madrid 0 5.2% 11.9% 13.5% 10.2% 5.8% 2.6%
1 3.6% 8.1% 9.2% 6.9% 3.9% 1.8%
2 1.2% 2.8% 3.1% 2.4% 1.3% 0.6%
3 0.3% 0.6% 0.7% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1%
4 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAtletico MadridInter
Played44
Form50%100%
Attack71%79%
Defense36%93%
Goals For (tot | avg)10 | 2.511 | 2.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 2.31 | 0.3

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

5.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

7.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

80%
FT probability

3.5+

57%
FT probability

BTTS

76%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Atletico Madrid Inter
HATHAT
Played224224
Wins100%0%50%100%100%100%
Draws0%0%0%0%0%0%
Loses0%100%50%0%0%0%

Form: Atletico Madrid: LWLW • Inter: WWWW

League goals

Metric Atletico Madrid Inter
HATHAT
GF total82105611
GF avg4.01.02.52.53.02.8
GA total279101
GA avg1.03.52.30.50.00.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAtletico MadridInter
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.575%100%100%25%
1.575%50%100%0%
2.550%50%50%0%
3.525%25%25%0%
4.525%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAtletico MadridInter
HATHAT
Clean sheets000123
Failed to score011000

Penalties

MetricAtletico MadridInter
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricAtletico MadridInter
Wins14
Draws00
Losses10

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-1—3-00-4
Biggest losses—4-0——
Goals For5234
Goals Against1410

Model comparison

MetricAtletico MadridInter
Form33%67%
Att48%52%
Def10%90%
Poisson Distribution0%100%
H2h33%67%
Goals40%60%
Total32.8%67.2%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Inter

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.53 @ 1xBet
Draw3.50 @ 188Bet
Away3.20 @ 188Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.96 @ 1xBet
Under 2.52.01 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.71 @ Pinnacle
No2.22 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Atletico Madrid = 0.68 (league 1.76), Inter = 2.27 (league 1.32)

Inter
0 1 2 3 4 5
Atletico Madrid 0 5.2% 11.9% 13.5% 10.2% 5.8% 2.6%
1 3.6% 8.1% 9.2% 6.9% 3.9% 1.8%
2 1.2% 2.8% 3.1% 2.4% 1.3% 0.6%
3 0.3% 0.6% 0.7% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1%
4 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 9.6% · Draw 17.1% · Away win 70.5%

Vtot 50 , Vtod1