Tue, Dec 9 2025 • 20:00 • New Balance Arena
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.42 (league 1.76) 0.56 (league 1.34)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
57.9% 27.2% 14.6%
best score tips
1 - 0
19.6%
2 - 0
13.9%
0 - 0
13.8%
Score & goals probability table
Chelsea
0 1 2 3 4 5
Atalanta 0 13.8% 7.7% 2.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
1 19.6% 11.0% 3.1% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
2 13.9% 7.8% 2.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 6.6% 3.7% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 2.3% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAtalantaChelsea
Played55
Form67%67%
Attack26%52%
Defense78%74%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.212 | 2.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 16 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

81%
FT probability

2.5+

57%
FT probability

3.5+

40%
FT probability

BTTS

67%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Atalanta Chelsea
HATHAT
Played235325
Wins50%67%60%100%0%60%
Draws50%0%20%0%50%20%
Loses0%33%20%0%50%20%

Form: Atalanta: LWDWW • Chelsea: LWWDW

League goals

Metric Atalanta Chelsea
HATHAT
GF total2469312
GF avg1.01.31.23.01.52.4
GA total145156
GA avg0.51.31.00.32.51.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAtalantaChelsea
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.560%40%100%60%
1.540%20%60%40%
2.520%20%40%20%
3.50%20%20%0%
4.50%0%20%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAtalantaChelsea
HATHAT
Clean sheets123202
Failed to score112000

Penalties

MetricAtalantaChelsea
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total12

Streaks

MetricAtalantaChelsea
Wins12
Draws11
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-10-35-1—
Biggest losses—4-0—3-1
Goals For2352
Goals Against1413

Model comparison

MetricAtalantaChelsea
Form50%50%
Att33%67%
Def55%45%
Poisson Distribution69%31%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total51.8%48.3%

Advice: Double chance : Atalanta or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.48 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.61 @ 1xBet
Away2.22 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.90 @ SBO
Under 2.52.10 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.67 @ William Hill
No2.32 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Atalanta = 1.42 (league 1.76), Chelsea = 0.56 (league 1.34)

Chelsea
0 1 2 3 4 5
Atalanta 0 13.8% 7.7% 2.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
1 19.6% 11.0% 3.1% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
2 13.9% 7.8% 2.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 6.6% 3.7% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 2.3% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 57.9% · Draw 27.2% · Away win 14.6%

vtt 16 , vtd1