Tue, Dec 9 2025 • 20:00 • Lotto Park
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.14 (league 1.76) 2.98 (league 1.34)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
11.3% 14.0% 66.4%
best score tips
1 - 2
8.2%
1 - 3
8.2%
0 - 2
7.2%
Score & goals probability table
Marseille
0 1 2 3 4 5
Union St. Gilloise 0 1.6% 4.9% 7.2% 7.2% 5.4% 3.2%
1 1.9% 5.5% 8.2% 8.2% 6.1% 3.6%
2 1.1% 3.1% 4.7% 4.6% 3.5% 2.1%
3 0.4% 1.2% 1.8% 1.8% 1.3% 0.8%
4 0.1% 0.3% 0.5% 0.5% 0.4% 0.2%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricUnion St. GilloiseMarseille
Played55
Form40%40%
Attack22%35%
Defense48%74%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 18 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)12 | 2.46 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

6.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

94%
FT probability

2.5+

66%
FT probability

3.5+

47%
FT probability

BTTS

73%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Union St. Gilloise Marseille
HATHAT
Played235325
Wins0%67%40%67%0%40%
Draws0%0%0%0%0%0%
Loses100%33%60%33%100%60%

Form: Union St. Gilloise: WLLLW • Marseille: LWLLW

League goals

Metric Union St. Gilloise Marseille
HATHAT
GF total055628
GF avg0.01.71.02.01.01.6
GA total8412246
GA avg4.01.32.40.72.01.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineUnion St. GilloiseMarseille
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.560%80%80%80%
1.520%60%40%40%
2.520%60%20%0%
3.50%40%20%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricUnion St. GilloiseMarseille
HATHAT
Clean sheets011101
Failed to score202101

Penalties

MetricUnion St. GilloiseMarseille
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricUnion St. GilloiseMarseille
Wins11
Draws00
Losses32

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins—1-34-0—
Biggest losses0-43-10-12-1
Goals For0341
Goals Against4312

Model comparison

MetricUnion St. GilloiseMarseille
Form50%50%
Att38%62%
Def33%67%
Poisson Distribution0%100%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total40.3%59.7%

Advice: Winner : Marseille

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.10 @ 1xBet
Draw3.54 @ Pinnacle
Away2.44 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.88 @ SBO
Under 2.52.08 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.67 @ Pinnacle
No2.35 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Union St. Gilloise = 1.14 (league 1.76), Marseille = 2.98 (league 1.34)

Marseille
0 1 2 3 4 5
Union St. Gilloise 0 1.6% 4.9% 7.2% 7.2% 5.4% 3.2%
1 1.9% 5.5% 8.2% 8.2% 6.1% 3.6%
2 1.1% 3.1% 4.7% 4.6% 3.5% 2.1%
3 0.4% 1.2% 1.8% 1.8% 1.3% 0.8%
4 0.1% 0.3% 0.5% 0.5% 0.4% 0.2%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 11.3% · Draw 14.0% · Away win 66.4%

vtt 12 , vtd1