Tue, Dec 9 2025 • 20:00 • Philips Stadion
Match Finished
Expected Goals
7.01 (league 1.75) 1.87 (league 1.34)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
24.9% 2.8% 1.9%
best score tips
5 - 1
3.7%
5 - 2
3.4%
4 - 1
2.6%
Score & goals probability table
Atletico Madrid
0 1 2 3 4 5
PSV Eindhoven 0 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 0.3% 0.6% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%
3 0.8% 1.5% 1.4% 0.9% 0.4% 0.2%
4 1.4% 2.6% 2.4% 1.5% 0.7% 0.3%
5 2.0% 3.7% 3.4% 2.1% 1.0% 0.4%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricPSV EindhovenAtletico Madrid
Played55
Form53%60%
Attack57%52%
Defense65%57%
Goals For (tot | avg)13 | 2.612 | 2.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.610 | 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

5.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

6.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

85%
FT probability

3.5+

68%
FT probability

BTTS

92%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric PSV Eindhoven Atletico Madrid
HATHAT
Played235325
Wins50%33%40%100%0%60%
Draws0%67%40%0%0%0%
Loses50%0%20%0%100%40%

Form: PSV Eindhoven: LDWDW • Atletico Madrid: LWLWW

League goals

Metric PSV Eindhoven Atletico Madrid
HATHAT
GF total761310212
GF avg3.52.02.63.31.02.4
GA total5383710
GA avg2.51.01.61.03.52.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LinePSV EindhovenAtletico Madrid
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%100%80%100%
1.540%40%80%40%
2.540%20%40%40%
3.540%0%20%20%
4.520%0%20%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricPSV EindhovenAtletico Madrid
HATHAT
Clean sheets000000
Failed to score000011

Penalties

MetricPSV EindhovenAtletico Madrid
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricPSV EindhovenAtletico Madrid
Wins11
Draws10
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins6-21-45-1—
Biggest losses1-3——4-0
Goals For6452
Goals Against3114

Model comparison

MetricPSV EindhovenAtletico Madrid
Form47%53%
Att52%48%
Def56%44%
Poisson Distribution77%23%
H2h20%80%
Goals0%100%
Total50.4%49.6%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Atletico Madrid and +2.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.02 @ 1xBet
Draw3.86 @ 1xBet
Away2.35 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.50 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.70 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.45 @ Pinnacle
No2.92 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): PSV Eindhoven = 7.01 (league 1.75), Atletico Madrid = 1.87 (league 1.34)

Atletico Madrid
0 1 2 3 4 5
PSV Eindhoven 0 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 0.3% 0.6% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%
3 0.8% 1.5% 1.4% 0.9% 0.4% 0.2%
4 1.4% 2.6% 2.4% 1.5% 0.7% 0.3%
5 2.0% 3.7% 3.4% 2.1% 1.0% 0.4%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 24.9% · Draw 2.8% · Away win 1.9%

Vtot 19 , Vtod1