Wed, Dec 10 2025 • 20:00 • Estadio Santiago Bernabéu
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.86 (league 1.75) 0.75 (league 1.34)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
35.5% 35.2% 29.3%
best score tips
0 - 0
20.0%
1 - 0
17.2%
0 - 1
15.0%
Score & goals probability table
Manchester City
0 1 2 3 4 5
Real Madrid 0 20.0% 15.0% 5.6% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0%
1 17.2% 12.9% 4.8% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
2 7.4% 5.5% 2.1% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
3 2.1% 1.6% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricReal MadridManchester City
Played55
Form80%67%
Attack71%59%
Defense71%71%
Goals For (tot | avg)12 | 2.410 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 15 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

81%
FT probability

2.5+

57%
FT probability

3.5+

41%
FT probability

BTTS

69%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Real Madrid Manchester City
HATHAT
Played235325
Wins100%67%80%67%50%60%
Draws0%0%0%0%50%20%
Loses0%33%20%33%0%20%

Form: Real Madrid: WWWLW • Manchester City: WDWWL

League goals

Metric Real Madrid Manchester City
HATHAT
GF total39126410
GF avg1.53.02.42.02.02.0
GA total145325
GA avg0.51.31.01.01.01.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineReal MadridManchester City
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.580%60%80%60%
1.560%20%80%40%
2.540%20%20%0%
3.540%0%20%0%
4.520%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricReal MadridManchester City
HATHAT
Clean sheets112112
Failed to score011101

Penalties

MetricReal MadridManchester City
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total30

Streaks

MetricReal MadridManchester City
Wins32
Draws01
Losses10

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-10-54-10-2
Biggest losses—1-00-2—
Goals For2542
Goals Against1322

Model comparison

MetricReal MadridManchester City
Form55%45%
Att55%45%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution51%49%
H2h62%38%
Goals48%52%
Total53.5%46.5%

Advice: Double chance : Real Madrid or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.99 @ Pinnacle
Draw4.00 @ 1xBet
Away2.32 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.47 @ Betano
Under 2.52.95 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.42 @ 188Bet
No3.06 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Real Madrid = 0.86 (league 1.75), Manchester City = 0.75 (league 1.34)

Manchester City
0 1 2 3 4 5
Real Madrid 0 20.0% 15.0% 5.6% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0%
1 17.2% 12.9% 4.8% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
2 7.4% 5.5% 2.1% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
3 2.1% 1.6% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 35.5% · Draw 35.2% · Away win 29.3%

Vtot 16 , Vtod1