Wed, Dec 10 2025 • 20:00 • Estadio de San Mamés
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.29 (league 1.75) 5.05 (league 1.34)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
3.5% 5.2% 51.9%
best score tips
1 - 5
6.2%
1 - 4
6.2%
1 - 3
4.9%
Score & goals probability table
Paris Saint Germain
0 1 2 3 4 5
Athletic Club 0 0.2% 0.9% 2.3% 3.8% 4.8% 4.8%
1 0.2% 1.1% 2.9% 4.9% 6.2% 6.2%
2 0.1% 0.7% 1.9% 3.1% 4.0% 4.0%
3 0.1% 0.3% 0.8% 1.3% 1.7% 1.7%
4 0.0% 0.1% 0.3% 0.4% 0.5% 0.6%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAthletic ClubParis Saint Germain
Played55
Form27%80%
Attack24%100%
Defense47%53%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.819 | 3.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.88 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

6.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

85%
FT probability

3.5+

61%
FT probability

BTTS

82%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Athletic Club Paris Saint Germain
HATHAT
Played235325
Wins50%0%20%67%100%80%
Draws0%33%20%0%0%0%
Loses50%67%60%33%0%20%

Form: Athletic Club: LLWLD • Paris Saint Germain: WWWLW

League goals

Metric Athletic Club Paris Saint Germain
HATHAT
GF total31410919
GF avg1.50.30.83.34.53.8
GA total369538
GA avg1.52.01.81.71.51.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAthletic ClubParis Saint Germain
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.540%80%100%80%
1.520%60%80%60%
2.520%20%60%20%
3.50%20%60%0%
4.50%0%40%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAthletic ClubParis Saint Germain
HATHAT
Clean sheets011101
Failed to score123000

Penalties

MetricAthletic ClubParis Saint Germain
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricAthletic ClubParis Saint Germain
Wins13
Draws00
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-1—4-02-7
Biggest losses0-24-11-2—
Goals For3157
Goals Against2432

Model comparison

MetricAthletic ClubParis Saint Germain
Form25%75%
Att17%83%
Def47%53%
Poisson Distribution19%81%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total27.0%73.0%

Advice: Combo Winner : Paris Saint Germain and +1.5 goals

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home4.82 @ 1xBet
Draw4.12 @ 1xBet
Away1.77 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.85 @ 188Bet
Under 2.52.28 @ SBO

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.82 @ 188Bet
No2.29 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Athletic Club = 1.29 (league 1.75), Paris Saint Germain = 5.05 (league 1.34)

Paris Saint Germain
0 1 2 3 4 5
Athletic Club 0 0.2% 0.9% 2.3% 3.8% 4.8% 4.8%
1 0.2% 1.1% 2.9% 4.9% 6.2% 6.2%
2 0.1% 0.7% 1.9% 3.1% 4.0% 4.0%
3 0.1% 0.3% 0.8% 1.3% 1.7% 1.7%
4 0.0% 0.1% 0.3% 0.4% 0.5% 0.6%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 3.5% · Draw 5.2% · Away win 51.9%

Vtot 17 , Vtod1