Wed, Dec 10 2025 • 20:00 • BayArena
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.86 (league 1.75) 7.49 (league 1.34)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
0.3% 0.7% 23.3%
best score tips
0 - 5
4.7%
1 - 5
4.0%
0 - 4
3.1%
Score & goals probability table
Newcastle
0 1 2 3 4 5
Bayer Leverkusen 0 0.0% 0.2% 0.7% 1.7% 3.1% 4.7%
1 0.0% 0.2% 0.6% 1.4% 2.7% 4.0%
2 0.0% 0.1% 0.2% 0.6% 1.1% 1.7%
3 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.2% 0.3% 0.5%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.1%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBayer LeverkusenNewcastle
Played55
Form53%60%
Attack47%65%
Defense41%76%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.611 | 2.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)10 | 24 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

5.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

78%
FT probability

3.5+

56%
FT probability

BTTS

81%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Bayer Leverkusen Newcastle
HATHAT
Played235325
Wins0%67%40%67%50%60%
Draws50%33%40%0%0%0%
Loses50%0%20%33%50%40%

Form: Bayer Leverkusen: DDLWW • Newcastle: LWWWL

League goals

Metric Bayer Leverkusen Newcastle
HATHAT
GF total3586511
GF avg1.51.71.62.02.52.2
GA total8210224
GA avg4.00.72.00.71.00.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBayer LeverkusenNewcastle
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%60%100%40%
1.560%40%60%40%
2.50%20%40%0%
3.50%20%20%0%
4.50%20%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBayer LeverkusenNewcastle
HATHAT
Clean sheets022213
Failed to score000000

Penalties

MetricBayer LeverkusenNewcastle
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total12

Streaks

MetricBayer LeverkusenNewcastle
Wins03
Draws20
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins—0-23-00-4
Biggest losses2-7—1-22-1
Goals For2234
Goals Against7222

Model comparison

MetricBayer LeverkusenNewcastle
Form47%53%
Att42%58%
Def29%71%
Poisson Distribution9%91%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total31.8%68.3%

Advice: Combo Winner : Newcastle and +2.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.15 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.76 @ 1xBet
Away2.35 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.65 @ 1xBet
Under 2.52.45 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.60 @ 188Bet
No2.70 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Bayer Leverkusen = 0.86 (league 1.75), Newcastle = 7.49 (league 1.34)

Newcastle
0 1 2 3 4 5
Bayer Leverkusen 0 0.0% 0.2% 0.7% 1.7% 3.1% 4.7%
1 0.0% 0.2% 0.6% 1.4% 2.7% 4.0%
2 0.0% 0.1% 0.2% 0.6% 1.1% 1.7%
3 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.2% 0.3% 0.5%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.1%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 0.3% · Draw 0.7% · Away win 23.3%

Vtot 18 , Vtod1