Wed, Dec 10 2025 • 20:00 • Estádio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica
Match Finished
2 - 0
Expected Goals
2.95 (league 1.76) 0.74 (league 1.34)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
73.8% 11.8% 6.4%
best score tips
2 - 0
10.8%
3 - 0
10.6%
2 - 1
8.0%
Score & goals probability table
Napoli
0 1 2 3 4 5
Benfica 0 2.5% 1.8% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 7.3% 5.4% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
2 10.8% 8.0% 3.0% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
3 10.6% 7.9% 2.9% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
4 7.9% 5.8% 2.2% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
5 4.6% 3.5% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBenficaNapoli
Played55
Form20%47%
Attack24%35%
Defense53%47%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.86 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.69 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

5.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

87%
FT probability

2.5+

61%
FT probability

3.5+

44%
FT probability

BTTS

62%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Benfica Napoli
HATHAT
Played459325
Wins50%40%44%67%0%40%
Draws0%20%11%33%0%20%
Loses50%40%44%0%100%40%

Form: Benfica: WWDWLLLLW • Napoli: LWLDW

League goals

Metric Benfica Napoli
HATHAT
GF total549426
GF avg1.30.81.01.31.01.2
GA total448189
GA avg1.00.80.90.34.01.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBenficaNapoli
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.556%44%60%60%
1.544%22%60%40%
2.50%22%0%20%
3.50%0%0%20%
4.50%0%0%20%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBenficaNapoli
HATHAT
Clean sheets235202
Failed to score134112

Penalties

MetricBenficaNapoli
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricBenficaNapoli
Wins21
Draws11
Losses41

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-00-22-0—
Biggest losses2-33-0—6-2
Goals For2222
Goals Against3316

Model comparison

MetricBenficaNapoli
Form30%70%
Att40%60%
Def53%47%
Poisson Distribution77%23%
H2h0%100%
Goals33%67%
Total46.6%53.4%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Napoli

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.74 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.18 @ 1xBet
Away3.05 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.50 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.86 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.06 @ Pinnacle
No1.92 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Benfica = 2.95 (league 1.76), Napoli = 0.74 (league 1.34)

Napoli
0 1 2 3 4 5
Benfica 0 2.5% 1.8% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 7.3% 5.4% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
2 10.8% 8.0% 3.0% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
3 10.6% 7.9% 2.9% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
4 7.9% 5.8% 2.2% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
5 4.6% 3.5% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 73.8% · Draw 11.8% · Away win 6.4%

vtt 15 , vtd1