Tue, Jan 20 2026 • 20:00 • Estadio Santiago Bernabéu
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.46 (league 1.78) 0.95 (league 1.37)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
48.5% 26.5% 24.5%
best score tips
1 - 0
13.1%
1 - 1
12.5%
2 - 0
9.6%
Score & goals probability table
Monaco
0 1 2 3 4 5
Real Madrid 0 9.0% 8.6% 4.1% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
1 13.1% 12.5% 5.9% 1.9% 0.4% 0.1%
2 9.6% 9.1% 4.3% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1%
3 4.6% 4.4% 2.1% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
4 1.7% 1.6% 0.8% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.5% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricReal MadridMonaco
Played55
Form60%60%
Attack65%35%
Defense65%76%
Goals For (tot | avg)11 | 2.26 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.24 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

82%
FT probability

2.5+

58%
FT probability

3.5+

41%
FT probability

BTTS

73%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Real Madrid Monaco
HATHAT
Played336336
Wins67%67%67%33%33%33%
Draws0%0%0%67%33%50%
Loses33%33%33%0%33%17%

Form: Real Madrid: WWWLWL • Monaco: LDDWDW

League goals

Metric Real Madrid Monaco
HATHAT
GF total4913347
GF avg1.33.02.21.01.31.2
GA total347268
GA avg1.01.31.20.72.01.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineReal MadridMonaco
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.583%67%83%50%
1.550%33%33%50%
2.533%17%0%17%
3.533%0%0%17%
4.517%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricReal MadridMonaco
HATHAT
Clean sheets112213
Failed to score011101

Penalties

MetricReal MadridMonaco
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total31

Streaks

MetricReal MadridMonaco
Wins31
Draws02
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-10-51-00-1
Biggest losses1-21-0—4-1
Goals For2522
Goals Against2324

Model comparison

MetricReal MadridMonaco
Form50%50%
Att65%35%
Def40%60%
Poisson Distribution59%41%
H2h50%50%
Goals0%0%
Total52.8%47.2%

Advice: Double chance : Real Madrid or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.35 @ Betano
Draw6.20 @ 1xBet
Away9.15 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.40 @ Betfair
Under 2.53.30 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.66 @ Pinnacle
No2.34 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Real Madrid = 1.46 (league 1.78), Monaco = 0.95 (league 1.37)

Monaco
0 1 2 3 4 5
Real Madrid 0 9.0% 8.6% 4.1% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
1 13.1% 12.5% 5.9% 1.9% 0.4% 0.1%
2 9.6% 9.1% 4.3% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1%
3 4.6% 4.4% 2.1% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
4 1.7% 1.6% 0.8% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.5% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 48.5% · Draw 26.5% · Away win 24.5%

vtt 8 , vtd1