Wed, Jan 21 2026 • 17:45 • RAMS Park
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.22 (league 1.76) 0.89 (league 1.34)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
65.0% 18.7% 13.7%
best score tips
2 - 0
11.0%
1 - 0
10.0%
2 - 1
9.8%
Score & goals probability table
Atletico Madrid
0 1 2 3 4 5
Galatasaray 0 4.5% 4.0% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
1 10.0% 8.8% 3.9% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0%
2 11.0% 9.8% 4.3% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
3 8.2% 7.2% 3.2% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
4 4.5% 4.0% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
5 2.0% 1.8% 0.8% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricGalatasarayAtletico Madrid
Played55
Form60%80%
Attack54%100%
Defense77%31%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.413 | 2.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.69 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

69%
FT probability

3.5+

49%
FT probability

BTTS

75%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Galatasaray Atletico Madrid
HATHAT
Played336336
Wins67%33%50%100%33%67%
Draws0%0%0%0%0%0%
Loses33%67%50%0%67%33%

Form: Galatasaray: LWWWLL • Atletico Madrid: LWLWWW

League goals

Metric Galatasaray Atletico Madrid
HATHAT
GF total44810515
GF avg1.31.31.33.31.72.5
GA total2683912
GA avg0.72.01.31.03.02.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineGalatasarayAtletico Madrid
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.567%67%83%100%
1.533%17%83%50%
2.533%17%50%33%
3.50%17%17%17%
4.50%17%17%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricGalatasarayAtletico Madrid
HATHAT
Clean sheets112000
Failed to score112011

Penalties

MetricGalatasarayAtletico Madrid
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total31

Streaks

MetricGalatasarayAtletico Madrid
Wins31
Draws00
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-10-35-12-3
Biggest losses0-15-1—4-0
Goals For3353
Goals Against1514

Model comparison

MetricGalatasarayAtletico Madrid
Form43%57%
Att35%65%
Def75%25%
Poisson Distribution72%28%
H2h0%100%
Goals0%100%
Total56.3%43.8%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Atletico Madrid

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.35 @ Dafabet
Draw4.00 @ Dafabet
Away2.18 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.64 @ 1xBet
Under 2.52.46 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.53 @ Bet365
No2.65 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Galatasaray = 2.22 (league 1.76), Atletico Madrid = 0.89 (league 1.34)

Atletico Madrid
0 1 2 3 4 5
Galatasaray 0 4.5% 4.0% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
1 10.0% 8.8% 3.9% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0%
2 11.0% 9.8% 4.3% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
3 8.2% 7.2% 3.2% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
4 4.5% 4.0% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
5 2.0% 1.8% 0.8% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 65.0% · Draw 18.7% · Away win 13.7%

vtt 5 , vtd1