Wed, Jan 21 2026 • 20:00 • Stamford Bridge
Match Finished
1 - 0
Expected Goals
0.84 (league 1.78) 0.15 (league 1.37)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
51.5% 41.9% 6.5%
best score tips
0 - 0
37.0%
1 - 0
31.1%
2 - 0
13.1%
Score & goals probability table
Pafos
0 1 2 3 4 5
Chelsea 0 37.0% 5.7% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 31.1% 4.8% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 13.1% 2.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 3.7% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricChelseaPafos
Played55
Form67%33%
Attack92%31%
Defense62%31%
Goals For (tot | avg)12 | 2.44 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 19 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

0.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

71%
FT probability

2.5+

50%
FT probability

3.5+

36%
FT probability

BTTS

61%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Chelsea Pafos
HATHAT
Played3366612
Wins100%0%50%33%50%42%
Draws0%33%17%50%33%42%
Loses0%67%33%17%17%17%

Form: Chelsea: LWWDWL • Pafos: DWWWWDDLDWDL

League goals

Metric Chelsea Pafos
HATHAT
GF total94138412
GF avg3.01.32.21.30.71.0
GA total1789312
GA avg0.32.31.31.50.51.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineChelseaPafos
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%67%75%50%
1.550%50%25%25%
2.533%17%0%8%
3.517%0%0%8%
4.517%0%0%8%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricChelseaPafos
HATHAT
Clean sheets202246
Failed to score000033

Penalties

MetricChelseaPafos
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total21

Streaks

MetricChelseaPafos
Wins24
Draws12
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-1—2-01-2
Biggest losses—3-11-52-0
Goals For5222
Goals Against1352

Model comparison

MetricChelseaPafos
Form67%33%
Att75%25%
Def64%36%
Poisson Distribution83%17%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total72.3%27.8%

Advice: Double chance : Chelsea or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.16 @ 1xBet
Draw10.00 @ Betfair
Away22.00 @ 10Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.32 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.54.00 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.04 @ 188Bet
No1.91 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Chelsea = 0.84 (league 1.78), Pafos = 0.15 (league 1.37)

Pafos
0 1 2 3 4 5
Chelsea 0 37.0% 5.7% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 31.1% 4.8% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 13.1% 2.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 3.7% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 51.5% · Draw 41.9% · Away win 6.5%

vtt 4 , vtd1