Wed, Jan 21 2026 • 20:00 • St. James' Park
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.12 (league 1.78) 1.02 (league 1.37)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
37.6% 29.5% 32.7%
best score tips
1 - 1
13.4%
1 - 0
13.1%
0 - 1
12.0%
Score & goals probability table
PSV Eindhoven
0 1 2 3 4 5
Newcastle 0 11.7% 12.0% 6.1% 2.1% 0.5% 0.1%
1 13.1% 13.4% 6.9% 2.3% 0.6% 0.1%
2 7.4% 7.5% 3.9% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
3 2.8% 2.8% 1.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.8% 0.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricNewcastlePSV Eindhoven
Played55
Form67%53%
Attack80%93%
Defense73%47%
Goals For (tot | avg)12 | 2.414 | 2.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.88 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

94%
FT probability

2.5+

66%
FT probability

3.5+

47%
FT probability

BTTS

82%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Newcastle PSV Eindhoven
HATHAT
Played336336
Wins67%33%50%33%33%33%
Draws0%33%17%0%67%33%
Loses33%33%33%67%0%33%

Form: Newcastle: LWWWLD • PSV Eindhoven: LDWDWL

League goals

Metric Newcastle PSV Eindhoven
HATHAT
GF total67139615
GF avg2.02.32.23.02.02.5
GA total2468311
GA avg0.71.31.02.71.01.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineNewcastlePSV Eindhoven
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%50%100%100%
1.567%50%50%50%
2.533%0%33%33%
3.517%0%33%0%
4.50%0%17%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricNewcastlePSV Eindhoven
HATHAT
Clean sheets213000
Failed to score000000

Penalties

MetricNewcastlePSV Eindhoven
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total31

Streaks

MetricNewcastlePSV Eindhoven
Wins31
Draws01
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-46-21-4
Biggest losses1-22-11-3—
Goals For3464
Goals Against2231

Model comparison

MetricNewcastlePSV Eindhoven
Form56%44%
Att46%54%
Def67%33%
Poisson Distribution51%49%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total55.0%45.0%

Advice: Double chance : Newcastle or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.46 @ 188Bet
Draw5.94 @ 1xBet
Away8.00 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.36 @ Bet365
Under 2.53.30 @ Betfair

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.60 @ Pinnacle
No2.50 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Newcastle = 1.12 (league 1.78), PSV Eindhoven = 1.02 (league 1.37)

PSV Eindhoven
0 1 2 3 4 5
Newcastle 0 11.7% 12.0% 6.1% 2.1% 0.5% 0.1%
1 13.1% 13.4% 6.9% 2.3% 0.6% 0.1%
2 7.4% 7.5% 3.9% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
3 2.8% 2.8% 1.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.8% 0.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 37.6% · Draw 29.5% · Away win 32.7%

vtt 4 , vtd1