Thu, Oct 2 2025 • 16:45 • Stadio Renato Dall'Ara
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.05 (league 1.60) 1.73 (league 1.16)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
0.9% 18.4% 79.8%
best score tips
0 - 1
29.2%
0 - 2
25.2%
0 - 0
16.9%
Score & goals probability table
SC Freiburg
0 1 2 3 4 5
Bologna 0 16.9% 29.2% 25.2% 14.5% 6.3% 2.2%
1 0.8% 1.5% 1.3% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1%
2 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBolognaSC Freiburg
Played11
Form0%100%
Attack0%17%
Defense92%92%
Goals For (tot | avg)0 | 02 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)1 | 11 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

0.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

0.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

29%
FT probability

2.5+

20%
FT probability

3.5+

14%
FT probability

BTTS

57%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Bologna SC Freiburg
HATHAT
Played011101
Wins—0%0%100%—100%
Draws—0%0%0%—0%
Loses—100%100%0%—0%

Form: Bologna: L • SC Freiburg: W

League goals

Metric Bologna SC Freiburg
HATHAT
GF total000202
GF avg0.00.00.02.00.02.0
GA total011101
GA avg0.01.01.01.00.01.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBolognaSC Freiburg
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.50%100%100%100%
1.50%0%100%0%
2.50%0%0%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBolognaSC Freiburg
HATHAT
Clean sheets000000
Failed to score011000

Penalties

MetricBolognaSC Freiburg
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricBolognaSC Freiburg
Wins01
Draws00
Losses10

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins——2-1—
Biggest losses—1-0——
Goals For0020
Goals Against0110

Model comparison

MetricBolognaSC Freiburg
Form0%100%
Att0%100%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution0%0%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total50.0%50.0%

Advice: Combo Winner : SC Freiburg and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.98 @ 1xBet
Draw3.65 @ 188Bet
Away4.40 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.14 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.90 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.98 @ Pinnacle
No1.94 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Bologna = 0.05 (league 1.60), SC Freiburg = 1.73 (league 1.16)

SC Freiburg
0 1 2 3 4 5
Bologna 0 16.9% 29.2% 25.2% 14.5% 6.3% 2.2%
1 0.8% 1.5% 1.3% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1%
2 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 0.9% · Draw 18.4% · Away win 79.8%

Vtot 2 , Vtod1