Thu, Oct 23 2025 • 16:45 • Parc Olympique Lyonnais
Not Started
Expected Goals
2.51 (league 1.59) 0.05 (league 1.18)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
86.6% 8.7% 0.4%
best score tips
2 - 0
24.4%
3 - 0
20.4%
1 - 0
19.4%
Score & goals probability table
FC Basel 1893
0 1 2 3 4 5
Lyon 0 7.7% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 19.4% 1.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 24.4% 1.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 20.4% 1.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 12.8% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 6.4% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLyonFC Basel 1893
Played22
Form100%50%
Attack17%17%
Defense100%89%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 1.53 | 1.5
Goals Against (tot | avg)0 | 02 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

64%
FT probability

2.5+

45%
FT probability

3.5+

32%
FT probability

BTTS

64%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Lyon FC Basel 1893
HATHAT
Played112112
Wins100%100%100%100%0%50%
Draws0%0%0%0%0%0%
Loses0%0%0%0%100%50%

Form: Lyon: WW • FC Basel 1893: LW

League goals

Metric Lyon FC Basel 1893
HATHAT
GF total213213
GF avg2.01.01.52.01.01.5
GA total000022
GA avg0.00.00.00.02.01.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLyonFC Basel 1893
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%0%100%50%
1.550%0%50%50%
2.50%0%0%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLyonFC Basel 1893
HATHAT
Clean sheets112101
Failed to score000000

Penalties

MetricLyonFC Basel 1893
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricLyonFC Basel 1893
Wins20
Draws00
Losses01

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-00-12-0
Biggest losses2-1
Goals For2121
Goals Against0002

Model comparison

MetricLyonFC Basel 1893
Form67%33%
Att50%50%
Def100%0%
Poisson Distribution100%0%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total58.5%41.5%

Advice: Double chance : Lyon or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.62 @ 1xBet
Draw4.50 @ Pinnacle
Away5.23 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.57 @ Unibet
Under 2.52.55 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.63 @ 188Bet
No2.38 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Lyon = 2.51 (league 1.59), FC Basel 1893 = 0.05 (league 1.18)

FC Basel 1893
0 1 2 3 4 5
Lyon 0 7.7% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 19.4% 1.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 24.4% 1.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 20.4% 1.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 12.8% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 6.4% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 86.6% · Draw 8.7% · Away win 0.4%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1