Thu, Oct 23 2025 • 19:00 • Stadio Olimpico
Match Finished
1 - 2
Expected Goals
0.62 (league 1.62) 0.85 (league 1.17)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
24.7% 36.7% 38.5%
best score tips
0 - 0
22.9%
0 - 1
19.6%
1 - 0
14.2%
Score & goals probability table
Plzen
0 1 2 3 4 5
AS Roma 0 22.9% 19.6% 8.4% 2.4% 0.5% 0.1%
1 14.2% 12.1% 5.2% 1.5% 0.3% 0.1%
2 4.4% 3.8% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
3 0.9% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAS RomaPlzen
Played22
Form50%67%
Attack11%22%
Defense89%94%
Goals For (tot | avg)2 | 14 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)2 | 11 | 0.5

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

54%
FT probability

2.5+

38%
FT probability

3.5+

27%
FT probability

BTTS

68%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric AS Roma Plzen
HATHAT
Played112112
Wins0%100%50%100%0%50%
Draws0%0%0%0%100%50%
Loses100%0%50%0%0%0%

Form: AS Roma: WL • Plzen: DW

League goals

Metric AS Roma Plzen
HATHAT
GF total022314
GF avg0.02.01.03.01.02.0
GA total112011
GA avg1.01.01.00.01.00.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAS RomaPlzen
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.550%100%100%50%
1.550%0%50%0%
2.50%0%50%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAS RomaPlzen
HATHAT
Clean sheets000101
Failed to score101000

Penalties

MetricAS RomaPlzen
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricAS RomaPlzen
Wins10
Draws01
Losses00

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins—1-23-0—
Biggest losses0-1———
Goals For0231
Goals Against1101

Model comparison

MetricAS RomaPlzen
Form43%57%
Att33%67%
Def33%67%
Poisson Distribution0%100%
H2h64%36%
Goals73%27%
Total49.2%50.8%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Plzen and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.39 @ Dafabet
Draw5.79 @ Pinnacle
Away10.20 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.60 @ Betano
Under 2.52.47 @ Superbet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.00 @ Pinnacle
No1.95 @ Bet365
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): AS Roma = 0.62 (league 1.62), Plzen = 0.85 (league 1.17)

Plzen
0 1 2 3 4 5
AS Roma 0 22.9% 19.6% 8.4% 2.4% 0.5% 0.1%
1 14.2% 12.1% 5.2% 1.5% 0.3% 0.1%
2 4.4% 3.8% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
3 0.9% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 24.7% · Draw 36.7% · Away win 38.5%

Vtot 10 , Vtod1