Thu, Oct 23 2025 • 19:00 • Stade Pierre-Mauroy
Not Started
Expected Goals
1.63 (league 1.59) 0.59 (league 1.18)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
62.0% 24.1% 13.2%
best score tips
1 - 0
17.6%
2 - 0
14.4%
0 - 0
10.8%
Score & goals probability table
PAOK
0 1 2 3 4 5
Lille 0 10.8% 6.4% 1.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
1 17.6% 10.5% 3.1% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
2 14.4% 8.5% 2.5% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
3 7.8% 4.6% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
4 3.2% 1.9% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.0% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLillePAOK
Played25
Form100%47%
Attack17%39%
Defense94%78%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 1.57 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)1 | 0.54 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

64%
FT probability

2.5+

45%
FT probability

3.5+

32%
FT probability

BTTS

66%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Lille PAOK
HATHAT
Played112336
Wins100%100%100%33%33%33%
Draws0%0%0%67%0%33%
Loses0%0%0%0%67%33%

Form: Lille: WW • PAOK: DWLWDL

League goals

Metric Lille PAOK
HATHAT
GF total213527
GF avg2.01.01.51.70.71.2
GA total101044
GA avg1.00.00.50.01.30.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLillePAOK
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%50%50%33%
1.550%0%17%17%
2.50%0%17%17%
3.50%0%17%0%
4.50%0%17%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLillePAOK
HATHAT
Clean sheets011314
Failed to score000213

Penalties

MetricLillePAOK
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricLillePAOK
Wins21
Draws01
Losses01

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-10-15-00-1
Biggest losses3-1
Goals For2151
Goals Against1003

Model comparison

MetricLillePAOK
Form46%54%
Att30%70%
Def80%20%
Poisson Distribution78%22%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total58.5%41.5%

Advice: Double chance : Lille or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.65 @ 1xBet
Draw4.13 @ 1xBet
Away5.49 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.85 @ William Hill
No1.95 @ Bet365

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.88 @ 1xBet
Under 2.52.02 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Lille = 1.63 (league 1.59), PAOK = 0.59 (league 1.18)

PAOK
0 1 2 3 4 5
Lille 0 10.8% 6.4% 1.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
1 17.6% 10.5% 3.1% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
2 14.4% 8.5% 2.5% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
3 7.8% 4.6% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
4 3.2% 1.9% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.0% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 62.0% · Draw 24.1% · Away win 13.2%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1