Thu, Nov 6 2025 • 17:45 • Merkur-Arena
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.51 (league 1.60) 1.67 (league 1.20)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
51.9% 18.8% 24.4%
best score tips
2 - 1
8.1%
3 - 1
6.7%
2 - 2
6.7%
Score & goals probability table
Nottingham Forest
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sturm Graz 0 1.5% 2.6% 2.1% 1.2% 0.5% 0.2%
1 3.9% 6.4% 5.4% 3.0% 1.2% 0.4%
2 4.8% 8.1% 6.7% 3.7% 1.6% 0.5%
3 4.0% 6.7% 5.6% 3.1% 1.3% 0.4%
4 2.5% 4.2% 3.5% 2.0% 0.8% 0.3%
5 1.3% 2.1% 1.8% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSturm GrazNottingham Forest
Played33
Form33%44%
Attack19%38%
Defense69%69%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 16 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 1.75 | 1.7

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

67%
FT probability

3.5+

48%
FT probability

BTTS

87%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Sturm Graz Nottingham Forest
HATHAT
Played123213
Wins100%0%33%50%0%33%
Draws0%0%0%0%100%33%
Loses0%100%67%50%0%33%

Form: Sturm Graz: LWL • Nottingham Forest: DLW

League goals

Metric Sturm Graz Nottingham Forest
HATHAT
GF total213426
GF avg2.00.51.02.02.02.0
GA total145325
GA avg1.02.01.71.52.01.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSturm GrazNottingham Forest
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.567%100%100%67%
1.533%67%100%67%
2.50%0%0%33%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSturm GrazNottingham Forest
HATHAT
Clean sheets000101
Failed to score011000

Penalties

MetricSturm GrazNottingham Forest
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total03

Streaks

MetricSturm GrazNottingham Forest
Wins10
Draws01
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-1—2-0—
Biggest losses—2-02-3—
Goals For2122
Goals Against1232

Model comparison

MetricSturm GrazNottingham Forest
Form43%57%
Att33%67%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution62%38%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total47.0%53.0%

Advice: Double chance : Sturm Graz or draw

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home6.13 @ 1xBet
Draw4.40 @ Unibet
Away1.66 @ 188Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.85 @ 1xBet
Under 2.52.14 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.90 @ Pinnacle
No2.02 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Sturm Graz = 2.51 (league 1.60), Nottingham Forest = 1.67 (league 1.20)

Nottingham Forest
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sturm Graz 0 1.5% 2.6% 2.1% 1.2% 0.5% 0.2%
1 3.9% 6.4% 5.4% 3.0% 1.2% 0.4%
2 4.8% 8.1% 6.7% 3.7% 1.6% 0.5%
3 4.0% 6.7% 5.6% 3.1% 1.3% 0.4%
4 2.5% 4.2% 3.5% 2.0% 0.8% 0.3%
5 1.3% 2.1% 1.8% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 51.9% · Draw 18.8% · Away win 24.4%

vtt 17 , vtd1