Thu, Nov 27 2025 • 17:45 • Decathlon Arena - Stade Pierre-Mauroy
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.55 (league 1.62) 4.27 (league 1.17)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
7.8% 9.1% 56.8%
best score tips
1 - 4
6.4%
1 - 3
6.0%
1 - 5
5.4%
Score & goals probability table
Dinamo Zagreb
0 1 2 3 4 5
Lille 0 0.3% 1.3% 2.7% 3.9% 4.1% 3.5%
1 0.5% 2.0% 4.2% 6.0% 6.4% 5.4%
2 0.4% 1.5% 3.2% 4.6% 4.9% 4.2%
3 0.2% 0.8% 1.7% 2.4% 2.5% 2.2%
4 0.1% 0.3% 0.6% 0.9% 1.0% 0.8%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.2% 0.3% 0.3% 0.3%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLilleDinamo Zagreb
Played44
Form50%58%
Attack35%41%
Defense65%65%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.57 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.56 | 1.5

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

72%
FT probability

3.5+

51%
FT probability

BTTS

87%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Lille Dinamo Zagreb
HATHAT
Played224224
Wins50%50%50%50%50%50%
Draws0%0%0%0%50%25%
Loses50%50%50%50%0%25%

Form: Lille: WWLL • Dinamo Zagreb: WWDL

League goals

Metric Lille Dinamo Zagreb
HATHAT
GF total516347
GF avg2.50.51.51.52.01.8
GA total516426
GA avg2.50.51.52.01.01.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLilleDinamo Zagreb
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.575%75%75%100%
1.550%25%50%25%
2.525%25%50%25%
3.50%25%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLilleDinamo Zagreb
HATHAT
Clean sheets011000
Failed to score011101

Penalties

MetricLilleDinamo Zagreb
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricLilleDinamo Zagreb
Wins22
Draws01
Losses00

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-10-13-11-3
Biggest losses3-41-00-3—
Goals For3133
Goals Against4131

Model comparison

MetricLilleDinamo Zagreb
Form46%54%
Att46%54%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution29%71%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total42.8%57.3%

Advice: Combo Winner : Dinamo Zagreb and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.50 @ 188Bet
Draw4.98 @ Pinnacle
Away7.40 @ 10Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.66 @ 1xBet
Under 2.52.42 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.85 @ Pinnacle
No2.02 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Lille = 1.55 (league 1.62), Dinamo Zagreb = 4.27 (league 1.17)

Dinamo Zagreb
0 1 2 3 4 5
Lille 0 0.3% 1.3% 2.7% 3.9% 4.1% 3.5%
1 0.5% 2.0% 4.2% 6.0% 6.4% 5.4%
2 0.4% 1.5% 3.2% 4.6% 4.9% 4.2%
3 0.2% 0.8% 1.7% 2.4% 2.5% 2.2%
4 0.1% 0.3% 0.6% 0.9% 1.0% 0.8%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.2% 0.3% 0.3% 0.3%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 7.8% · Draw 9.1% · Away win 56.8%

Vtot 25 , Vtod1